NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	104		Excitement	11.9 [19]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +76.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	3.7 [472]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DAL): -27.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.52	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.52	0.03	0.47	-0.02	26	50%	0.56	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Jason Terry	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.08	-0.03	13	60%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Erick Dampier	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.07	0.01	7	84%	0.20	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.04
Brandon Bass	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	7	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Malik Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	17	43%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.16
Devean George	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	15	33%	-0.05	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.12	-0.16	-0.00	12	17%	-0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0.1,0.22,0.29,0.22,0.32,0.68,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.76	0.76	0.19	0.58	-0.00	27	64%	1.02	5	-0.25	27	74%	0.15
Luke Walton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	55%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	0.00	14	47%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.05
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	12	32%	-0.09	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.10	-0.22	-0.05	8	27%	-0.16	1	-0.10	6	33%	-0.19

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.2	3.4	34.9	18.0	25.2	3.5	45.4	2.5	18.0	178.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -1.5%

LAL +34.9%

LAL +49.0%

DAL -37.0%

LAL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.8	14.2	15.4	98.1	101.9	105.7
season	16.1	14.6		108.9	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.4		104.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	16.3	15.9	17.0	16.4	10.4	15.8
LAL	13.7	14.1	13.7	14.2	16.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	53	52	0.47	-0.97	1.45	0.18	10	-14	24	15.8	15.7	0.06	13.9	14.6	-0.73
Malik Allen	16	17	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-5	6	18.2	15.3	2.85	13.5	14.4	-0.91
Erick Dampier	60	62	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-7	10	16.0	15.5	0.54	14.0	14.6	-0.68
Brandon Bass	36	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	3	-10	17.7	14.8	2.97	15.1	13.8	1.33
Devean George	23	22	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	8	-20	16.8	15.5	1.30	12.0	14.8	-2.82
Jason Kidd	94	94	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-5	6	15.7	16.6	-0.92	14.3	13.7	0.64
Jason Terry	87	88	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.48	4	-8	12	15.8	15.6	0.23	14.7	11.7	3.03
Dirk Nowitzki	90	89	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	1	-6	15.3	18.2	-2.85	14.4	13.5	0.91
Josh Howard	60	59	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.31	-11	7	-18	15.0	16.7	-1.68	13.8	14.8	-1.03

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	88	89	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.38	10	-6	16	14.6	12.3	2.36	15.4	17.5	-2.10
Kobe Bryant	104	103	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.41	4	0	4	14.1	19.0	-4.86	15.7	18.3	-2.64
Sasha Vujacic	65	65	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	0	4	14.1	14.4	-0.29	15.4	16.4	-1.06
Lamar Odom	97	97	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	1	2	14.2	14.8	-0.59	15.6	18.0	-2.44
Jordan Farmar	47	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	-4	12	13.2	15.1	-1.84	15.9	15.7	0.23
Luke Walton	47	48	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	5	-6	14.6	14.0	0.57	16.8	14.9	1.92
Ronny Turiaf	23	22	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	8	-12	13.0	14.6	-1.58	17.3	15.4	1.96
Derek Fisher	48	48	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.04	-8	12	-20	14.6	13.9	0.71	16.9	14.8	2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.21,0.46,0.61,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.82,0.54,0.81,0.72,0.97,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 93, HOU 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.35,0.47,0.61,0.48,0.57,0.91,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.98,1	89.2%
DEN 107, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.25,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.65,0.84,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.84,1	89.0%
SEA 116, ATL 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.8,0.71,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.96,1	88.4%