NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	93		Excitement	9.9 [40]		MVP	Sam Mack (HOU): +21.5%
Houston Rockets	103		Comeback	6.5 [200]		LVP	Luc Longley (PHX): -30.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George McCloud	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	4	87%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	13	53%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Danny Manning	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Joe Kleine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.09	-0.00	21	50%	-0.00	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rex Chapman	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.19	-0.07	12	54%	0.05	4	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.12	-0.20	-0.02	18	37%	-0.20	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.13
Luc Longley	-0.30	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.05	-0.24	0.01	10	55%	0.06	4	-0.36	2	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.06	0.15	-0.00	7	67%	0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.08,0.08,0.13,-0.02,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.03	-0.03	21	65%	0.27	1	-0.10	12	75%	-0.02
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	8	43%	-0.10	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	7	39%	-0.10	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.05
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.08	0.02	16	42%	-0.13	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.26	-0.26	-0.03	-0.22	0.01	14	47%	-0.00	2	-0.26	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.13	-0.16	0.00	7	25%	-0.21	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.3	2.3	25.8	16.5	24.6	2.7	41.5	1.8	14.4	158.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -10.7%

HOU +9.3%

HOU +34.9%

HOU +10.9%

HOU +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	15.9	16.8	15.8	95.9	106.2	99.6
season	15.3	16.0		102.7	103.1
opponent	15.6	15.9		100.8	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	15.0	15.7	14.3	17.8	19.2	15.9
HOU	17.0	16.3	17.0	16.5	18.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Longley	71	72	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.31	13	-23	36	15.8	16.4	-0.60	17.9	13.9	3.98
Danny Manning	32	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.16	-8	-2	-6	17.9	15.0	2.87	17.1	16.7	0.34
Clifford Robinson	80	79	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.30	5	-15	20	15.2	19.4	-4.20	17.0	16.2	0.82
Rex Chapman	80	79	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.30	5	-15	20	15.2	19.4	-4.20	17.0	16.2	0.82
George McCloud	36	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	1	-12	16.9	15.4	1.58	17.3	16.5	0.83
Tom Gugliotta	75	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	2	-14	15.3	18.1	-2.77	16.7	17.5	-0.80
Jason Kidd	82	82	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.27	-17	7	-24	15.9	16.1	-0.22	16.6	18.1	-1.54
Joe Kleine	29	27	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.04	-25	15	-40	18.8	14.7	4.01	13.4	18.1	-4.70

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mack	45	45	1.03	-0.53	1.56	0.24	27	-17	44	16.3	17.3	-1.06	18.2	14.0	4.12
Charles Barkley	78	79	0.94	-0.44	1.39	0.27	23	-13	36	16.4	18.7	-2.30	16.7	12.7	4.03
Brent Price	59	59	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.07	18	-8	26	17.1	16.4	0.68	17.4	13.7	3.64
Scottie Pippen	83	82	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.26	-1	11	-12	17.3	14.4	2.90	15.4	18.9	-3.45
Hakeem Olajuwon	70	70	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.33	-5	15	-20	17.4	15.4	2.03	15.0	18.4	-3.46
Matt Bullard	14	16	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.15	11	-1	12	14.4	17.3	-2.90	17.7	15.6	2.08
Cuttino Mobley	38	37	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	18	-26	16.4	17.1	-0.68	14.1	17.1	-2.98
Othella Harrington	46	45	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.19	2	8	-6	16.7	16.9	-0.18	16.1	15.8	0.34
Michael Dickerson	52	52	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	-0.03	-17	27	-44	17.3	16.3	1.06	14.0	18.2	-4.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.35,0.47,0.61,0.48,0.57,0.91,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 109, BOS 114	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.68,0.85,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.91,1,1	89.6%
DAL 104, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.21,0.46,0.61,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.82,0.54,0.81,0.72,0.97,0.92,1	89.2%
DEN 107, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.25,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.65,0.84,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.84,1	88.4%