NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	109		Excitement	10.0 [66]		MVP	Tony Delk (BOS): +14.6%
Boston Celtics	114		Comeback	4.8 [360]		LVP	Grant Hill (ORL): -24.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.18	0.03	0.06	15	81%	0.21	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.09
Darrell Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	3	67%	0.09	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
Jeryl Sasser	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,0.1,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.10	0.02	29	47%	0.16	5	-0.19	8	75%	-0.01
Horace Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	2	75%	-0.00	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.04
Pat Garrity	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.10	-0.02	14	20%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Grant Hill	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25	-0.10	-0.16	-0.01	12	61%	0.02	7	-0.27	9	89%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.02	12	71%	0.15	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	-0.03	0.10	-0.02	20	56%	0.20	3	-0.11	14	71%	0.07
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.05	-0.03	5	58%	0.07	1	0.01	2	100%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	83%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	3	37%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	8	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	24	56%	0.19	8	-0.30	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	30.6	15.5	24.3	1.8	36.0	1.4	22.6	157.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +45.5%

ORL -2.7%

ORL -32.1%

BOS +31.6%

BOS +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.8	14.3	15.5	100.9	103.6	101.6
season	14.6	15.6		102.7	99.3
opponent	15.5	15.8		99.9	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ORL	13.9	14.8	15.7	16.6	12.5	14.8
BOS	15.5	13.5	15.0	17.7	8.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Humphrey	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-8	11	6.0	14.9	-8.92	0.0	14.5	-14.48
Horace Grant	41	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-4	3	15.3	14.5	0.78	15.5	13.7	1.73
Darrell Armstrong	44	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-2	-1	13.3	15.9	-2.52	12.6	15.6	-3.02
Jeryl Sasser	14	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.11	1	-6	7	13.1	15.1	-2.02	14.7	14.3	0.39
Andrew DeClercq	38	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.24	2	-7	9	15.3	14.6	0.78	16.1	13.4	2.70
Shawn Kemp	51	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-2	-1	15.6	14.1	1.47	14.2	14.5	-0.28
Tracy McGrady	95	98	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	2	-9	15.1	13.2	1.91	14.3	14.7	-0.45
Mike Miller	92	95	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.28	-5	0	-5	14.7	15.4	-0.64	14.5	13.7	0.79
Grant Hill	92	95	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.33	-6	1	-7	15.0	14.1	0.90	14.4	14.1	0.25
Pat Garrity	72	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.36	-6	1	-7	14.8	15.0	-0.21	14.1	14.9	-0.83

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	54	54	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.42	10	-5	15	14.7	14.0	0.78	15.1	14.5	0.63
Antoine Walker	103	102	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	-2	9	14.3	14.6	-0.24	14.9	13.0	1.94
Walter McCarty	85	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	2	1	14.3	14.6	-0.33	14.5	15.7	-1.21
Paul Pierce	103	102	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	2	1	14.5	11.9	2.66	15.0	12.3	2.65
Tony Delk	88	85	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.34	1	4	-3	13.8	16.4	-2.58	14.3	16.8	-2.48
Shammond Williams	38	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	4	-3	13.6	14.7	-1.17	14.5	15.0	-0.54
Tony Battie	39	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.06	1	4	-3	13.6	14.7	-1.13	14.2	15.2	-1.06
Vin Baker	40	41	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	6	-7	16.1	13.3	2.84	16.4	13.9	2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.68,0.85,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 93, HOU 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.35,0.47,0.61,0.48,0.57,0.91,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.98,1	89.6%
MIL 120, PHI 124	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.22,0.34,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.47,0.41,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.78,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.86,0.85,1	89.4%
MIN 94, DAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.08,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.33,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.95,1,1	89.2%