inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 108 Excitement10.4 [53] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +30.6%
Dallas Mavericks 110 Comeback51.9 [40] LVPJosh Howard (DAL): -21.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Green0.240,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.16,0.04,0.18,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.240.090.150.002057%0.302-0.06978%0.03
Thabo Sefolosha0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.050.01967%0.1100.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01375%0.0300.002100%0.01
Malik Rose-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00367%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Nick Collison-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.00837%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nenad Krstic-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.001145%0.052-0.0700%0.00
Kyle Weaver-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.00-0.00533%-0.031-0.022100%0.02
Russell Westbrook-0.130,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0,-0.09,-0.23,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.17,-0.13-0.05-0.070.023245%0.164-0.301090%0.05
Earl Watson-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.06-0.140.00538%-0.083-0.133100%0.02

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.31,0.310.310.140.190.023059%0.503-0.191080%0.06
James Singleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.060.100.01686%0.202-0.052100%0.01
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.070.070.010.080.02850%0.101-0.034100%0.03
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.05-0.01656%0.112-0.05475%-0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.012100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.00350%0.0200.0000%0.00
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00833%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Antoine Wright0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00542%-0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16-0.16-0.06-0.11-0.01935%-0.111-0.05250%-0.02
Josh Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.08-0.140.001737%-0.012-0.201100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.92.428.015.826.22.635.31.519.1155.8
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.32.041.4140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +36.6%
OKC -16.0%
DAL +21.6%
OKC -0.8%
DAL +8.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDALNBAOKCDALNBA
this game16.115.015.5106.9106.8106.4
season14.915.6100.5108.9
opponent15.415.1107.1106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
OKC19.014.517.614.813.816.1
DAL13.217.615.115.213.515.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Rose26260.32-0.821.130.0210-122215.216.5-1.2716.314.61.74
Nick Collison44450.20-0.700.900.055-71217.115.41.6517.613.14.57
Kevin Durant1515-0.11-0.390.270.06-64-1018.515.72.7313.215.4-2.16
Kyle Weaver5757-0.17-0.330.17-0.170-2215.217.3-2.0914.216.0-1.80
Thabo Sefolosha5556-0.20-0.300.10-0.17-1-1016.515.70.8116.413.42.99
Jeff Green8890-0.510.01-0.53-0.43-31-416.414.12.3714.319.9-5.58
Earl Watson6566-0.610.11-0.72-0.43-64-1014.618.9-4.3215.115.00.12
Russell Westbrook9092-0.620.12-0.75-0.45-64-1016.116.7-0.6615.015.7-0.76
Nenad Krstic6568-0.790.29-1.08-0.70-31-417.114.52.5913.817.5-3.65

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Howard61611.10-0.601.710.5519-173614.116.4-2.2916.216.10.11
James Singleton52520.90-0.401.310.4615-132813.516.6-3.0514.517.8-3.30
Jason Kidd80800.64-0.140.770.437-51214.716.1-1.3416.614.32.34
Jose Juan Barea55520.60-0.100.700.513-1415.214.90.2514.817.6-2.82
Dirk Nowitzki90870.58-0.080.660.493-1415.114.60.5016.514.02.48
Gerald Green2626-0.030.53-0.56-0.0302-216.614.52.0413.117.2-4.12
Erick Dampier3736-0.110.61-0.720.01-46-1015.015.1-0.1218.914.64.32
Antoine Wright5050-0.120.62-0.74-0.03-35-814.415.7-1.3418.114.23.84
Brandon Bass2727-0.380.88-1.25-0.08-1012-2217.914.13.8014.416.8-2.36
Devean George3734-0.691.19-1.88-0.11-2022-4216.914.02.9216.516.00.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.28,0.23,0.14,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.94,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 107, CLE 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.39,0.32,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.59,0.46,0.29,0.29,0.45,0.91,190.2%
NYK 81, TOR 850.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.36,0.72,0.77,0.92,189.9%
BOS 118, ORL 1240.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.62,0.64,0.95,0.98,189.6%