NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	99		Excitement	9.2 [155]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +41.2%
Atlanta Hawks	103		Comeback	3.0 [321]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): -30.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.00	11	54%	0.17	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.05
Markelle Fultz	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.03	0.00	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	8	38%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Aaron Gordon	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jonathan Isaac	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	10	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	-0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.03,-0.11,-0.13	0.04	-0.19	-0.02	18	53%	-0.06	2	-0.07	7	86%	-0.04
Nikola Vucevic	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.06,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3	-0.07	-0.22	0.01	19	40%	-0.25	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.31,0.41	0.41	0.17	0.26	0.02	25	72%	0.61	5	-0.20	4	50%	-0.01
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.08	-0.02	8	45%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.02
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	45%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.00	7	67%	0.08	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Reddish	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.09	0.01	5	60%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	28.2	14.5	27.3	2.6	40.4	137.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +136.4%

ORL -32.2%

ORL -18.4%

ORL -35.1%

ORL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	ATL	NBA	ORL	ATL	NBA
this game	14.2	14.0	14.2	98.0	100.0	109.6
season	14.7	13.8		107.1	106.6
opponent	14.0	14.2		113.9	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.7	14.6	14.9	12.9	14.2
ATL	15.9	12.6	12.8	14.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	46	50	0.38	-0.88	1.27	0.09	10	-14	24	13.1	15.2	-2.17	13.9	14.0	-0.10
Mo Bamba	28	30	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-6	8	14.2	14.3	-0.05	13.8	14.1	-0.27
Michael Carter-Williams	37	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	0	-4	13.4	14.7	-1.29	13.8	14.1	-0.32
Jonathan Isaac	54	53	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-5	6	14.3	14.1	0.18	14.3	13.6	0.72
Terrence Ross	49	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.25	6	-10	16	14.0	14.5	-0.52	13.6	14.4	-0.83
Markelle Fultz	49	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.49	10	-14	24	13.4	15.1	-1.71	14.8	13.1	1.73
D.J. Augustin	52	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	10	-24	15.1	13.4	1.71	13.1	14.8	-1.73
Nikola Vucevic	65	65	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.43	-8	4	-12	14.8	13.3	1.51	14.3	13.4	0.86
Aaron Gordon	63	63	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.52	-11	7	-18	14.8	13.3	1.58	13.9	14.2	-0.30
Evan Fournier	62	62	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.52	-12	8	-20	14.6	13.7	0.90	14.1	13.9	0.23

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Andre Hunter	44	45	1.08	-0.58	1.65	0.46	21	-17	38	14.0	14.0	0.06	15.6	13.1	2.48
Vince Carter	23	23	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.39	16	-12	28	13.9	14.0	-0.16	16.3	13.7	2.61
Trae Young	76	75	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.41	14	-10	24	14.3	13.1	1.19	14.9	12.3	2.66
John Collins	71	69	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.41	10	-6	16	13.7	14.6	-0.88	14.9	12.8	2.05
Kevin Huerter	45	43	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.27	-7	11	-18	15.0	13.2	1.87	13.0	15.2	-2.21
Bruno Fernando	18	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	9	-14	15.8	13.6	2.17	13.6	14.4	-0.77
Jabari Parker	38	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	6	-8	14.4	13.7	0.68	13.2	14.8	-1.58
Alex Len	43	42	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.11	1	3	-2	13.8	14.1	-0.30	14.3	14.2	0.15
Cameron Reddish	52	51	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.11	-1	5	-6	12.9	15.1	-2.16	14.1	14.4	-0.30
Damian Jones	25	23	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.11	-1	5	-6	13.0	14.3	-1.25	14.3	14.2	0.02
DeAndre' Bembry	56	55	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.25	-18	22	-40	14.1	13.9	0.14	13.1	15.7	-2.62
Evan Turner	24	24	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.04	-8	12	-20	13.3	14.2	-0.86	12.9	14.7	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.55,0.36,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 106, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.36,0.53,0.34,0.53,0.37,0.67,0.73,1	92.9%
WAS 122, SAS 124	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.34,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.82,1	91.6%
MIN 102, DEN 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.9,1	91.5%