inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 102 Excitement10.2 [69] MVPKenneth Faried (DEN): +15.4%
Denver Nuggets 106 Comeback4.9 [474] LVPMo Williams (MIN): -37.9%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins0.130,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.040.07-0.021850%0.1300.00862%-0.07
Robbie Hummel0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.040.00654%0.0800.001100%0.01
Jeff Adrien0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.010.080.00546%0.091-0.02367%-0.02
Zach LaVine0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.01757%0.0500.0000%0.00
Thaddeus Young0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.012150%0.0300.00475%-0.07
Anthony Bennett0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Troy Daniels0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gorgui Dieng-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,00.01-0.02-0.011247%-0.0000.00667%-0.17
Shabazz Muhammad-0.090,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.090.02-0.090.021447%-0.0900.002100%0.01
Chase Budinger-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14-0.08-0.08-0.02825%-0.071-0.0700%0.00
Mo Williams-0.380,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.37,-0.38-0.21-0.17-0.00911%-0.205-0.1800%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenneth Faried0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.110.050.011574%0.254-0.09580%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.000.070.012144%0.0600.00683%0.04
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.07,-0.07,0.020.02-0.090.110.001634%0.071-0.05683%0.06
Alonzo Gee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00-0.00647%0.041-0.04367%-0.02
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.02467%0.083-0.10450%-0.03
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.010.01950%0.103-0.13475%-0.01
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.00633%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.04,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.040.001742%0.004-0.144100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.92.428.615.622.11.543.3136.4
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +29.9%
DEN +23.6%
DEN +21.6%
MIN -30.6%
DEN +5.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDENNBAMINDENNBA
this game14.113.815.199.0102.9104.2
season15.014.6101.2103.4
opponent15.315.0106.6110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN14.015.616.011.514.1
DEN14.313.814.612.913.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chase Budinger44430.18-0.680.85-0.068-122013.214.8-1.6415.512.62.87
Robbie Hummel22230.15-0.650.800.005-91412.214.7-2.4415.113.41.69
Troy Daniels11-0.01-0.490.470.02-1-328.014.2-6.212.013.9-11.93
Jeff Adrien2627-0.03-0.470.450.06-3-1-213.114.5-1.3814.813.51.30
Anthony Bennett1111-0.05-0.450.390.00-2-2014.314.10.1417.013.43.57
Mo Williams6263-0.10-0.400.31-0.4512-162813.415.2-1.7814.113.30.84
Shabazz Muhammad7373-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.29-3-1-214.513.21.3813.414.8-1.39
Zach LaVine4140-0.40-0.10-0.310.06-1612-2815.213.41.7813.314.1-0.84
Gorgui Dieng7776-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.44-1-3214.513.11.3813.514.8-1.30
Thaddeus Young7069-0.600.10-0.69-0.39-73-1014.712.91.8212.915.7-2.87
Andrew Wiggins8889-0.790.29-1.07-0.43-128-2014.412.91.4213.516.0-2.53

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenneth Faried66650.97-0.471.430.3820-163612.815.6-2.8214.713.31.40
Wilson Chandler86870.69-0.190.890.497-31013.714.4-0.7114.412.71.65
Arron Afflalo91900.64-0.140.790.3510-61613.417.2-3.7914.610.73.95
Ty Lawson84840.61-0.110.720.446-2813.216.3-3.0714.313.31.08
Timofey Mozgov73750.60-0.100.700.368-41213.015.7-2.6614.413.60.79
Alonzo Gee2927-0.140.64-0.780.03-610-1614.713.51.2211.815.0-3.21
Jusuf Nurkic2928-0.190.69-0.88-0.07-48-1216.212.93.3313.614.4-0.79
Nate Robinson2021-0.220.72-0.93-0.07-59-1416.813.13.7013.214.4-1.20
JJ Hickson3738-0.470.97-1.430.00-1620-3615.612.82.8213.314.7-1.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.9,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 104, MEM 1110.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.64,0.56,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.73,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.78,0.91,192.1%
NOH 76, CLE 790.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.79,0.9,0.83,191.8%
TOR 100, SAC 1070.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.76,0.96,191.5%