inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 100 Excitement7.8 [275] MVPKyle Lowry (TOR): +33.6%
Sacramento Kings 107 Comeback2.5 [515] LVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): -23.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.340,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.23,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.340.140.200.012065%0.403-0.0712100%0.11
Mickael Pietrus0.180,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.110.080.011564%0.211-0.043100%0.02
Amir Johnson0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.060.001100%0.1000.002100%0.02
Ed Davis0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.00-0.001054%0.0400.00475%-0.00
Terrence Ross-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00343%-0.031-0.021100%0.01
Jonas Valanciunas-0.060,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00430%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Andrea Bargnani-0.230,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.23-0.13-0.11-0.011427%-0.192-0.042100%0.01
DeMar DeRozan-0.240,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24-0.09-0.150.001641%-0.183-0.0620%-0.02

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.21,0.210.210.060.150.001864%0.294-0.083100%0.02
Tyreke Evans0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.09,0.17,0.170.17-0.000.17-0.011652%0.312-0.141258%-0.04
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.09-0.010.00775%0.0900.002100%0.01
Jason Thompson0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.050.050.040.01-0.001157%0.071-0.021100%0.00
Jimmer Fredette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.030.00558%0.061-0.022100%0.01
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.030.00555%0.001-0.0310%-0.01
Thomas Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.030.00370%0.082-0.11475%-0.01
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.01846%0.013-0.09875%0.03
Marcus Thornton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.09-0.110.00720%-0.151-0.051100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.82.530.415.330.72.537.4143.5
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +56.8%
TOR -11.9%
SAC +31.8%
TOR -32.3%
SAC +5.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORSACNBATORSACNBA
this game14.614.715.4102.0108.1104.1
season16.115.0104.4104.7
opponent15.215.3109.4105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.217.512.314.714.6
SAC13.513.816.514.714.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ed Davis46460.29-0.791.080.039-162514.514.6-0.1114.814.50.24
Terrence Ross24250.28-0.781.050.135-121716.514.02.4915.114.50.62
Jose Calderon2930-0.08-0.420.350.01-3-4116.813.73.0913.015.4-2.33
Amir Johnson6162-0.17-0.330.16-0.325-121714.115.4-1.2815.513.32.17
Jonas Valanciunas3534-0.29-0.21-0.080.01-103-1315.514.01.5013.215.4-2.21
Kyle Lowry7879-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.29-6-1-513.917.4-3.5415.212.52.70
DeMar DeRozan8181-0.510.01-0.52-0.33-6-1-514.216.2-2.0014.814.20.60
Mickael Pietrus8282-0.720.22-0.94-0.40-114-1514.316.1-1.7714.515.5-1.05
Andrea Bargnani5456-0.830.33-1.16-0.30-1811-2914.614.6-0.0614.514.8-0.28

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyreke Evans71710.78-0.281.050.4810-31314.914.10.7714.016.0-1.96
Jason Thompson69660.68-0.180.860.458-1915.113.71.3214.714.20.49
John Salmons69670.64-0.140.770.3410-31314.614.9-0.3015.013.61.37
DeMarcus Cousins75760.58-0.080.660.2910-31314.415.6-1.2214.514.9-0.42
James Johnson31310.400.100.300.2843113.315.3-2.0413.515.1-1.61
Aaron Brooks67690.390.110.280.168-1914.814.30.4614.215.5-1.33
Charles Hayes2221-0.070.57-0.640.02-310-1315.014.50.5015.414.41.08
Thomas Robinson3131-0.190.69-0.87-0.13-29-1114.614.7-0.1114.514.6-0.10
Jimmer Fredette2524-0.280.78-1.05-0.22-29-1115.114.50.6216.514.02.49
Marcus Thornton3534-0.430.93-1.36-0.20-815-2314.714.60.0514.814.50.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.76,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 106, PHX 1160.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.96,1,192.3%
SAS 104, MEM 1110.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.64,0.56,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.73,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.78,0.91,192.1%
MIN 102, DEN 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.9,191.5%