NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	104		Excitement	7.7 [306]		MVP	George Hill (SAS): +48.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	111		Comeback	4.5 [323]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -28.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49	0.27	0.20	-0.01	12	83%	0.49	0	0.00	12	92%	0.06
Gary Neal	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24	0.11	0.14	0.01	6	92%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.01	5	80%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	8	44%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	54%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Antonio McDyess	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	35%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
James Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.02	10	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29	-0.09	-0.19	0.00	20	44%	-0.08	5	-0.20	5	60%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.34	0.34	0.18	0.19	0.02	10	88%	0.36	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.25,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.11	0.23	0.01	14	62%	0.33	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	11	71%	0.20	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.05	0.00	11	48%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	8	52%	0.07	3	-0.13	7	57%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	2.3	32.5	15.7	24.2	1.6	35.0	141.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +28.9%

SAS -11.4%

MEM +21.4%

MEM +2.9%

MEM +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MEM	NBA	SAS	MEM	NBA
this game	16.1	16.1	15.5	118.2	122.0	105.7
season	15.5	15.5		109.3	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.2		103.7	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.9	16.0	17.1	15.4	16.1
MEM	17.6	15.3	16.4	15.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	50	52	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.06	1	-8	9	16.1	16.1	0.00	16.5	15.6	0.89
Steve Novak	1	2	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-7	7	12.0	16.1	-4.13	11.0	16.2	-5.21
James Anderson	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-7	7	0.0	16.3	-16.26	26.0	16.0	10.01
Manu Ginobili	37	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-9	11	15.4	16.6	-1.26	16.8	15.6	1.25
Tiago Splitter	35	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-5	3	16.4	15.8	0.58	17.4	15.2	2.11
Richard Jefferson	63	66	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-5	3	17.2	13.2	4.08	16.4	15.4	1.02
DeJuan Blair	38	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-9	11	16.7	15.6	1.02	16.7	15.7	1.08
Gary Neal	39	42	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-1	-5	16.1	16.1	-0.05	15.5	16.6	-1.02
George Hill	60	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-8	9	15.8	16.6	-0.83	16.0	16.2	-0.19
Antonio McDyess	52	54	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.42	-13	6	-19	15.5	16.9	-1.42	14.9	17.8	-2.88
Tony Parker	64	68	-0.95	0.45	-1.39	-0.42	-18	11	-29	15.9	16.6	-0.75	15.4	18.0	-2.60

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	63	59	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.58	10	-3	13	15.0	18.6	-3.62	15.9	16.4	-0.55
Zach Randolph	61	59	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.43	11	-4	15	16.2	15.9	0.25	15.8	16.6	-0.70
Mike Conley	65	64	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.45	10	-3	13	15.3	18.2	-2.88	16.0	16.2	-0.23
Marc Gasol	69	66	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.25	7	0	7	16.6	14.7	1.87	17.0	13.2	3.80
O.J. Mayo	51	48	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.19	8	-1	9	16.3	15.8	0.49	15.7	16.6	-0.91
Sam Young	23	23	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	6	-5	14.8	16.5	-1.70	16.6	15.9	0.72
Ish Smith	16	16	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.09	5	2	3	16.4	16.0	0.41	14.7	16.4	-1.63
Hamed Haddadi	4	4	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	8	-9	17.2	16.0	1.20	15.0	16.1	-1.13
Leon Powe	13	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	11	-15	17.2	15.9	1.32	14.1	16.5	-2.43
Darrell Arthur	28	27	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.16	-2	9	-11	17.1	15.7	1.40	17.3	15.5	1.76
Greivis Vasquez	10	8	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.07	-8	15	-23	20.9	15.5	5.39	19.2	15.8	3.49
Shane Battier	52	51	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.31	-2	9	-11	16.2	15.9	0.26	15.5	16.9	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.64,0.56,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.73,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.78,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, DEN 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.9,1	92.1%
TOR 100, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.76,0.96,1	92.1%
DAL 98, UTA 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.78,0.96,1	91.4%