NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	106		Excitement	8.2 [197]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +29.0%
Phoenix Suns	116		Comeback	2.5 [677]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): -14.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.17	0.11	0.02	10	86%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.07	-0.02	21	56%	0.18	1	-0.01	12	67%	-0.03
Trevor Ariza	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	79%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.06	0.02	18	58%	0.08	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	12	29%	-0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.16	0.11	-0.01	25	59%	0.32	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.15	0.04	12	82%	0.30	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.03	0.14	0.00	10	40%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	62%	0.09	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	10	56%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	6	57%	0.00	1	-0.06	2	0%	-0.08
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.7	33.3	16.0	22.2	1.7	32.3	132.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.4%

HOU -1.9%

HOU -3.6%

PHX +17.9%

PHX +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	14.4	14.5	15.3	108.2	114.9	106.0
season	15.0	14.4		106.0	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.0	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.1	13.6	15.8	15.5	14.4
PHX	14.0	13.0	15.5	15.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hill	35	36	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.06	3	-13	16	15.1	14.1	0.98	14.6	14.5	0.15
Kyle Lowry	42	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-8	6	14.7	14.2	0.50	14.3	14.7	-0.45
Charles Hayes	45	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-5	0	14.3	14.5	-0.22	14.1	14.8	-0.69
Kevin Martin	47	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-3	-4	14.5	14.4	0.08	14.1	14.9	-0.76
Chase Budinger	51	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.19	-3	-7	4	14.4	14.5	-0.08	14.9	14.1	0.76
Trevor Ariza	73	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	-4	-2	14.2	15.0	-0.82	14.6	14.4	0.21
Jared Jeffries	32	33	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	0	-10	13.9	14.7	-0.78	14.3	14.6	-0.27
Luis Scola	84	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.25	-8	-2	-6	14.4	14.4	0.00	14.7	13.0	1.74
Aaron Brooks	81	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.21	-12	2	-14	14.5	14.2	0.23	14.6	14.1	0.49

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	64	63	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-2	14	15.0	13.7	1.32	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Amar'e Stoudemire	83	82	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-3	16	15.0	12.3	2.65	14.6	13.7	0.89
Jason Richardson	63	63	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	2	6	15.0	13.8	1.16	13.9	15.3	-1.42
Steve Nash	74	73	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	6	-2	14.7	14.0	0.65	14.6	14.0	0.52
Channing Frye	50	45	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	7	-4	13.2	15.8	-2.56	13.8	14.9	-1.12
Jarron Collins	29	30	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	8	-6	16.3	13.8	2.47	14.6	14.4	0.25
Goran Dragic	34	30	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.18	8	2	6	14.2	14.7	-0.42	15.7	13.9	1.78
Lou Amundson	40	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.08	2	8	-6	13.9	14.9	-1.06	14.7	14.3	0.44
Leandro Barbosa	31	30	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.09	0	10	-10	13.5	15.0	-1.44	13.9	14.6	-0.71
Jared Dudley	37	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.08	-2	12	-14	13.7	15.0	-1.32	14.5	14.4	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 100, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.76,0.96,1	92.3%
NOP 107, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.52,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.82,0.72,0.66,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.72,0.96,0.98,1	91.9%
MIN 102, DEN 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.9,1	90.8%