NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	76		Excitement	8.4 [186]		MVP	Milt Palacio (CLE): +9.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	79		Comeback	2.2 [259]		LVP	Jamaal Magloire (NOH): -39.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	8	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	6	43%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Alexander	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	9	50%	-0.06	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
George Lynch	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	10	27%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jamal Mashburn	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	22	47%	-0.02	4	-0.19	5	80%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.40	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.36,-0.36,-0.4	-0.16	-0.22	0.01	18	36%	-0.31	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.08

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.09	0.01	10	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.05	0.00	6	25%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	4	75%	0.04	5	-0.16	4	75%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	15	38%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	14	43%	-0.03	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	23	33%	-0.17	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	27.0	14.8	26.3	2.5	35.5	131.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +54.3%

NOH -11.9%

CLE +1.2%

NOH -0.8%

CLE +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CLE	NBA	NOH	CLE	NBA
this game	17.0	16.4	15.5	88.4	91.9	101.6
season	15.9	15.1		101.6	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.6		104.3	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.7	19.6	16.1	18.2	17.0
CLE	15.9	16.4	17.4	16.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Moiso	42	46	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-5	7	16.6	17.5	-0.88	16.0	16.9	-0.95
Robert Traylor	24	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	0	-3	19.6	16.0	3.58	17.9	16.0	1.87
Stacey Augmon	16	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	4	-11	19.7	16.4	3.32	15.9	16.6	-0.70
Kenny Anderson	51	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	0	-3	17.3	16.7	0.51	16.1	17.0	-0.97
Robert Pack	35	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-3	3	16.7	17.3	-0.51	17.0	16.1	0.97
Courtney Alexander	40	39	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.41	0	-3	3	17.4	16.7	0.66	17.4	15.7	1.73
George Lynch	63	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-3	3	16.2	19.5	-3.32	16.1	17.2	-1.07
Jamal Mashburn	81	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-2	1	16.8	21.2	-4.41	16.4	16.5	-0.06
Jamaal Magloire	78	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	0	-3	16.7	20.0	-3.26	16.2	19.0	-2.78

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	43	44	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.42	14	-11	25	17.0	15.8	1.21	19.0	15.0	4.05
Jumaine Jones	50	50	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	-4	11	16.7	16.0	0.71	17.4	16.5	0.94
Carlos Boozer	58	59	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.45	-1	4	-5	15.9	17.5	-1.62	17.0	17.1	-0.15
Ricky Davis	80	79	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.47	-2	5	-7	16.5	15.3	1.19	16.8	19.3	-2.44
Milt Palacio	65	66	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	3	-3	16.2	17.0	-0.80	16.9	17.6	-0.79
Tierre Brown	27	27	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	-5	13	16.7	16.3	0.33	18.1	16.6	1.50
Darius Miles	54	54	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	2	-1	16.4	16.4	0.01	16.3	18.4	-2.12
DeSagana Diop	31	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.18	-7	10	-17	15.9	16.7	-0.79	14.7	18.3	-3.60
Chris Mihm	22	21	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.19	-5	8	-13	16.7	16.4	0.32	17.5	16.9	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.79,0.9,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 135, MEM 144	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.46,0.33,0.47,0.78,0.94,0.99,1	92.6%
DET 68, MEM 72	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.85,0.84,0.82,1	92.1%
VAN 98, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.63,0.76,0.85,1	92.0%