NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	98		Excitement	8.1 [202]		MVP	Danny Manning (PHX): +15.6%
Phoenix Suns	106		Comeback	2.5 [681]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -17.8%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.05	0.01	23	60%	0.14	1	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Bryant Reeves	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,-0.02,0.04,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	9	65%	0.20	3	-0.16	5	60%	0.03
Blue Edwards	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	15	63%	0.14	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	70%	0.04	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.09	-0.01	7	58%	0.01	1	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Lee Mayberry	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	8	31%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	3	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	8	33%	-0.05	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.15	-0.00	9	62%	0.20	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	9	90%	0.20	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	8	65%	0.13	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.07
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	75%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	12	61%	-0.01	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.10
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	15	45%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	6	44%	-0.08	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.7	25.2	18.0	26.3	2.4	40.4	138.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +38.5%

VAN -0.1%

VAN -36.6%

PHX +42.7%

PHX +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	PHX	NBA	VAN	PHX	NBA
this game	16.2	14.9	15.6	106.5	114.0	102.5
season	15.1	15.0		101.3	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.3		100.0	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	16.7	15.6	17.0	15.7	16.2
PHX	14.7	16.5	13.7	14.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	27	28	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.03	6	-14	20	15.3	16.6	-1.39	16.1	14.4	1.72
Bobby Hurley	44	46	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.05	-1	-7	6	15.0	17.4	-2.37	15.1	14.7	0.32
Tony Massenburg	28	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-3	-2	15.8	16.4	-0.65	15.6	14.6	0.98
George Lynch	20	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.14	-11	3	-14	15.9	16.3	-0.37	14.3	15.1	-0.74
Antonio Daniels	23	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	0	-8	17.3	15.9	1.42	15.4	14.7	0.64
Blue Edwards	69	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-8	8	15.9	17.3	-1.42	14.7	15.4	-0.64
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	72	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.40	3	-11	14	16.3	15.9	0.37	15.1	14.3	0.74
Michael Smith	53	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-7	6	16.9	15.3	1.57	14.7	15.2	-0.48
Bryant Reeves	73	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.23	-12	4	-16	16.6	14.9	1.63	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Lee Mayberry	51	51	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	3	-14	16.9	15.4	1.49	14.2	15.7	-1.52

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	81	80	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	-1	10	15.2	12.9	2.28	16.2	16.6	-0.40
Jason Kidd	71	69	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.34	3	5	-2	14.4	16.5	-2.03	16.5	15.6	0.90
Kevin Johnson	58	57	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.18	8	0	8	15.4	14.0	1.40	14.7	18.7	-3.95
Danny Manning	68	67	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	7	-6	13.9	17.7	-3.80	16.5	15.6	0.82
Dennis Scott	50	50	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	2	4	15.5	14.3	1.20	15.2	17.5	-2.28
Steve Nash	57	58	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	3	2	15.0	14.8	0.16	17.4	14.2	3.27
Mark Bryant	35	34	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	3	2	16.3	14.1	2.26	16.0	16.4	-0.33
Antonio McDyess	45	45	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	5	-2	14.2	15.6	-1.36	17.3	15.2	2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.63,0.76,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.71,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.65,0.61,0.39,0.63,0.67,0.91,1	93.2%
SAS 92, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.63,0.84,0.91,1	92.5%
DET 92, PHX 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.84,0.92,1	92.4%