NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	135		Excitement	8.6 [186]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +61.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	144		Comeback	2.3 [622]		LVP	Alexander Johnson (MEM): -8.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.23	0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.23	0.13	0.09	-0.02	14	65%	0.31	1	-0.07	6	83%	0.03
Matt Barnes	0.22	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.06	-0.02	28	61%	0.36	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.03	0.14	0.01	13	53%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	12	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Andris Biedrins	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	7	86%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	14	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Keith McLeod	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	73%	0.09	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.37,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.61	0.61	0.34	0.30	0.02	15	103%	0.65	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.10	0.18	-0.01	17	63%	0.35	3	-0.06	7	57%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.16	0.12	0.02	14	69%	0.26	0	0.00	7	86%	0.04
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.06	0.02	9	82%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	15	56%	0.14	1	-0.04	9	67%	-0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alexander Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	7	19%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.3	30.5	16.4	24.6	2.6	33.7	137.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +26.0%

MEM +1.2%

MEM +10.6%

MEM +14.2%

GSW -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MEM	NBA	GSW	MEM	NBA
this game	13.9	13.3	15.4	127.4	135.8	104.5
season	13.5	15.1		105.7	105.1
opponent	15.1	15.2		110.1	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.6	11.4	15.5	14.5	13.9
MEM	13.1	13.0	14.5	12.7	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	25	25	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.07	4	-13	17	15.9	13.2	2.67	14.3	13.0	1.34
Keith McLeod	45	46	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.00	5	-14	19	13.6	14.0	-0.40	12.3	14.0	-1.75
Kelenna Azubuike	53	51	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-13	17	14.1	13.7	0.36	14.1	12.5	1.59
Andris Biedrins	51	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-6	3	15.1	12.7	2.43	13.8	12.8	1.01
Troy Murphy	54	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-5	1	12.7	15.1	-2.43	12.8	13.7	-0.89
Matt Barnes	98	97	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-4	-1	13.7	15.7	-2.03	13.4	12.2	1.17
Mike Dunleavy	54	56	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.14	-12	3	-15	14.0	13.8	0.21	12.4	14.3	-1.83
Mickael Pietrus	61	61	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.32	-12	3	-15	13.4	14.5	-1.02	13.3	13.3	-0.07
Baron Davis	89	89	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.12	-22	13	-35	13.7	14.7	-0.99	13.5	12.4	1.05

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	64	63	1.14	-0.64	1.78	0.23	31	-22	53	13.1	13.5	-0.42	13.3	14.8	-1.50
Mike Miller	70	69	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.28	20	-11	31	12.7	14.5	-1.83	13.8	14.0	-0.19
Rudy Gay	80	81	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.16	23	-14	37	13.5	12.7	0.85	13.5	15.0	-1.47
Pau Gasol	79	78	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.24	17	-8	25	13.2	13.5	-0.25	13.9	13.9	-0.02
Stromile Swift	76	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	6	-3	12.8	14.6	-1.82	13.9	13.7	0.20
Alexander Johnson	37	38	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	10	-11	15.0	12.4	2.62	12.7	14.5	-1.86
Hakim Warrick	20	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.07	-1	10	-11	12.3	13.5	-1.16	15.9	13.4	2.55
Eddie Jones	26	25	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.07	-14	23	-37	12.7	13.5	-0.85	15.0	13.5	1.47
Dahntay Jones	36	37	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.04	-11	20	-31	14.5	12.7	1.83	14.0	13.8	0.19
Chucky Atkins	42	43	-0.64	1.14	-1.78	0.01	-22	31	-53	13.5	13.1	0.42	14.8	13.3	1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.46,0.33,0.47,0.78,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 76, CLE 79	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.79,0.9,0.83,1	92.6%
MIN 80, IND 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.54,0.61,0.81,0.78,0.95,1	91.5%
UTA 85, NOH 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.81,0.99,1,1,1	91.2%