NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	111		Excitement	9.0 [186]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +50.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	112		Comeback	38.8 [47]		LVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): -15.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.17	0.04	0.02	15	77%	0.21	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.01	-0.02	9	83%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.1	0.11	-0.02	-0.00	28	57%	0.21	4	-0.11	13	92%	0.09
Clint Capela	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	10	75%	0.18	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
PJ Tucker	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	4	40%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.15	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	12	33%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,0.51	0.51	0.01	0.52	0.03	25	48%	0.57	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.25	0.25	0.09	0.16	-0.00	23	59%	0.36	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.01	10	76%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	10	45%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	11	31%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	3.5	28.5	16.5	32.8	2.6	37.6	143.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +54.1%

HOU -16.8%

OKC +15.6%

HOU -1.7%

HOU -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	OKC	NBA	HOU	OKC	NBA
this game	16.1	13.4	14.3	113.3	115.5	109.3
season	14.8	12.9		114.0	108.9
opponent	14.9	14.4		106.4	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.8	15.4	15.6	16.7	16.1
OKC	13.2	14.6	13.2	12.6	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Rivers	42	43	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.20	2	-3	5	16.4	15.9	0.41	12.7	14.0	-1.35
Nene	25	25	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.07	3	-4	7	15.5	16.3	-0.81	11.4	14.1	-2.64
Danuel House Jr.	49	50	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.07	2	-3	5	15.6	16.6	-0.98	13.6	13.1	0.49
Gerald Green	31	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-3	5	14.9	16.7	-1.78	14.3	12.9	1.41
Chris Paul	71	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-2	3	16.0	16.6	-0.60	13.5	13.1	0.41
Clint Capela	73	72	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	3	-7	16.3	15.5	0.81	14.1	11.4	2.64
James Harden	75	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.55	1	-2	3	16.5	14.9	1.64	13.1	14.4	-1.35
PJ Tucker	61	59	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.58	0	-1	1	16.7	15.1	1.59	13.2	13.7	-0.46
Eric Gordon	63	61	-1.10	0.60	-1.69	-0.74	-12	11	-23	16.1	16.2	-0.08	13.7	12.9	0.73

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	85	85	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.46	9	-8	17	13.4	13.2	0.17	16.4	14.1	2.36
Russell Westbrook	72	75	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.49	3	-2	5	13.4	13.3	0.11	16.3	15.5	0.84
Steven Adams	73	74	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.47	2	-1	3	13.4	13.4	0.04	15.9	16.7	-0.78
Terrance Ferguson	51	51	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.76	-8	9	-17	13.7	13.1	0.56	15.9	16.4	-0.50
Jerami Grant	72	73	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.56	-6	7	-13	12.9	14.8	-1.83	16.4	15.4	0.97
Markieff Morris	25	25	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.09	7	-6	13	14.8	12.9	1.83	15.4	16.4	-0.97
Nerlens Noel	24	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	2	-3	13.4	13.4	-0.04	16.7	15.9	0.78
Raymond Felton	21	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	1	-1	14.7	13.0	1.67	15.2	16.4	-1.13
Dennis Schroder	62	62	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.25	-1	2	-3	12.7	14.7	-2.01	16.0	16.4	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.58,0.61,0.21,0.1,0.08,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 93, GSW 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.26,1	90.4%
PHX 103, HOU 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.11,0.09,0.04,1	89.7%
MIA 90, POR 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.22,0.45,0.22,0.32,0.16,1	89.1%