NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	103		Excitement	7.4 [391]		MVP	Gerald Green (HOU): +92.7%
Houston Rockets	104		Comeback	29.1 [142]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (HOU): -8.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Jackson	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.29	-0.00	0.28	-0.01	24	54%	0.38	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Daniels	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22	0.21	0.06	0.05	14	82%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,0.01,0.04,0.12,0.09	-0.08	0.14	-0.03	15	47%	0.23	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.02
Dragan Bender	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danuel House	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	3	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	78%	0.08	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Marquese Chriss	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	11	55%	0.09	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alec Peters	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.93	0.93	0.05	0.88	0.00	14	52%	0.93	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.07	0.02	9	90%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.11,0.18	0.18	-0.05	0.23	0.01	21	47%	0.26	4	-0.08	17	65%	-0.06
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.05	10	64%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	12	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.7	22.2	14.6	25.3	2.3	33.4	125.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +38.0%

HOU +0.0%

PHX -21.0%

HOU +27.9%

HOU +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	15.6	14.2	14.7	106.2	108.3	107.5
season	14.2	14.6		102.6	112.8
opponent	14.8	14.3		105.6	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.9	13.1	15.1	20.0	15.6
HOU	13.9	16.4	13.7	12.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danuel House	50	49	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.39	1	-2	3	15.9	15.3	0.62	13.7	14.7	-0.95
Troy Daniels	68	69	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.25	-2	1	-3	17.0	12.4	4.65	14.4	13.8	0.58
Alec Peters	54	53	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.03	3	-4	7	15.3	16.1	-0.77	14.8	13.5	1.33
Alan Williams	30	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.14	-6	5	-11	15.8	15.6	0.18	14.2	14.2	-0.05
Tyler Ulis	73	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.60	7	-8	15	16.1	14.2	1.90	14.0	14.7	-0.65
Marquese Chriss	67	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.61	5	-6	11	15.6	15.8	-0.18	14.2	14.2	0.05
Josh Jackson	73	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.68	6	-7	13	14.6	18.9	-4.36	14.1	14.7	-0.60
Dragan Bender	36	35	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.61	-4	3	-7	15.7	15.6	0.09	14.9	13.8	1.08
Shaquille Harrison	34	32	-1.10	0.60	-1.70	-0.66	-15	14	-29	14.2	16.4	-2.21	13.5	14.5	-1.05

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	44	44	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.62	8	-7	15	13.2	15.1	-1.92	15.9	15.4	0.45
Trevor Ariza	65	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.57	2	-1	3	14.3	14.0	0.29	15.6	15.6	-0.01
PJ Tucker	65	67	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.55	2	-1	3	14.3	14.0	0.29	15.8	15.3	0.54
Gerald Green	55	58	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.62	-3	4	-7	15.0	13.2	1.79	15.8	15.5	0.30
James Harden	76	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.59	-2	3	-5	14.1	14.4	-0.32	15.6	15.7	-0.04
Ryan Anderson	36	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.10	2	-1	3	14.0	14.3	-0.27	15.2	15.9	-0.64
Tarik Black	20	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.07	-1	2	-3	13.6	14.4	-0.76	14.7	15.9	-1.18
Clint Capela	68	67	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.33	6	-5	11	14.3	13.9	0.43	16.4	13.9	2.57
Luc Mbah a Moute	51	52	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.10	-9	10	-19	14.3	14.1	0.25	14.7	16.7	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.11,0.09,0.04,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 104, POR 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.15,0.01,0.02,1	91.8%
TOR 103, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.31,0.15,0.15,0.26,1	91.7%
DAL 93, GSW 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.26,1	90.5%