inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 103 Excitement8.1 [228] MVPReggie Miller (IND): +94.8%
Indiana Pacers 105 Comeback28.1 [45] LVPDamon Stoudamire (TOR): -27.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Oliver Miller0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.280.070.220.013100%0.321-0.037100%0.25
Hubert Davis0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.01-0.01967%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Walt Williams0.050,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01881%0.103-0.0500%0.00
Doug Christie0.010,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.010.01-0.03-0.031366%0.124-0.106100%0.02
Popeye Jones-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.02958%0.043-0.051100%0.00
Marcus Camby-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.020.00358%0.041-0.05650%-0.03
Carlos Rogers-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Clifford Rozier-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01425%-0.0600.00425%-0.04
Damon Stoudamire-0.280,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.09,-0.28-0.04-0.26-0.031952%-0.204-0.076100%0.04

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Miller0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.950.950.030.940.021266%0.982-0.031486%1.01
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.320.32-0.010.33-0.00567%0.352-0.03875%-0.01
Rik Smits0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.000.001073%0.091-0.022100%0.02
Dale Davis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01844%0.0000.002100%0.01
Vincent Askew0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01567%0.062-0.078100%0.05
Jerome Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.021362%0.106-0.13333%-0.02
Fred Hoiberg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Travis Best0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.01656%-0.012-0.034100%0.05
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01633%-0.0500.00333%-0.03
Duane Ferrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.13-0.02-0.0140%-0.073-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.42.533.815.728.52.344.8154.9
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +20.5%
IND +56.2%
TOR -12.8%
IND +4.8%
TOR -18.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORINDNBATORINDNBA
this game18.411.815.6108.4109.4104.4
season16.115.3102.2103.6
opponent16.315.0101.9105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.615.920.624.618.4
IND11.610.712.113.311.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hubert Davis44460.35-0.851.200.205-71219.217.61.6011.212.4-1.12
Popeye Jones64660.16-0.660.830.054-61018.318.5-0.2212.211.01.15
Marcus Camby27260.08-0.580.670.14-20-219.118.11.0912.211.70.51
Carlos Rogers77-0.13-0.370.240.01-53-815.618.6-3.0213.711.72.04
Oliver Miller6667-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.6612-142618.019.2-1.2611.412.9-1.49
Doug Christie9093-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.472-4618.515.82.7111.714.3-2.59
Damon Stoudamire8888-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.481-3417.529.4-11.9411.218.4-7.15
Walt Williams5655-0.890.39-1.28-0.48-1412-2618.717.90.7613.010.22.80
Clifford Rozier3332-0.910.41-1.31-0.53-1311-2419.517.81.7612.011.70.22

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Best62610.88-0.381.270.3618-163412.510.61.8719.416.62.77
Vincent Askew51500.87-0.371.250.4315-132811.811.80.0020.316.24.08
Reggie Miller56570.71-0.210.910.478-61412.011.50.5119.217.22.02
Antonio Davis50510.68-0.180.860.448-61411.712.0-0.3419.916.63.23
Rik Smits52510.66-0.160.820.6602-212.011.60.3916.220.9-4.73
Jalen Rose63630.150.35-0.19-0.3116-143011.911.70.1518.817.61.17
Erick Dampier2626-0.120.62-0.74-0.06-24-613.511.22.3521.017.43.62
Dale Davis6462-0.200.70-0.89-0.14-24-611.113.2-2.1417.819.4-1.52
Duane Ferrell1110-0.330.82-1.150.11-1517-3211.311.9-0.6211.519.2-7.68
Fred Hoiberg1413-0.410.91-1.320.21-2123-449.812.2-2.3911.319.5-8.18
Jerome Allen3131-0.410.91-1.320.03-1517-3211.112.2-1.0216.219.4-3.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.31,0.15,0.15,0.26,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 93, MIN 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.31,192.6%
ATL 93, POR 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.16,191.8%
PHX 103, HOU 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.11,0.09,0.04,191.7%