NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	93		Excitement	7.3 [341]		MVP	Damien Wilkins (MIN): +38.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	137.9 [7]		LVP	Yi Jianlian (NJN): -17.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.14,0.04	-0.09	0.08	-0.05	13	44%	0.10	4	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Josh Boone	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	14	48%	0.05	5	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	11	22%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07	0.04	-0.11	0.00	19	60%	0.03	4	-0.10	7	71%	-0.03
Rafer Alston	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.15,0.09,-0.18	0.02	-0.19	0.01	10	61%	0.08	3	-0.26	8	87%	0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.39	0.39	0.00	0.40	0.02	10	48%	0.41	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.02	4	87%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.07	0.02	13	50%	0.08	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.06
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Oleksiy Pecherov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	11	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	11	38%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Corey Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.16	0.03	-0.02	14	23%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	9	35%	-0.16	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.7	31.2	15.6	26.3	2.6	40.1	147.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +8.3%

MIN +4.0%

NJN -1.5%

MIN +38.3%

MIN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIN	NBA	NJN	MIN	NBA
this game	14.1	13.6	15.3	88.6	92.2	106.0
season	15.9	14.7		98.7	100.1
opponent	14.8	15.0		109.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.0	14.0	14.7	13.7	14.1
MIN	13.2	16.7	12.4	12.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	15	14	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-4	6	14.9	14.0	0.89	16.9	13.1	3.87
Jarvis Hayes	5	6	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-2	2	13.4	14.1	-0.74	12.2	13.7	-1.50
Rafer Alston	51	50	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.20	-6	4	-10	14.6	13.6	0.98	13.3	13.8	-0.47
Josh Boone	19	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	4	-10	15.7	13.8	1.93	14.2	13.4	0.82
Devin Harris	65	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.29	6	-8	14	13.7	14.8	-1.16	13.7	13.4	0.32
Terrence Williams	69	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	0	-2	13.6	15.2	-1.62	13.4	13.8	-0.41
Yi Jianlian	80	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.67	9	-11	20	14.5	12.8	1.77	13.4	14.0	-0.55
Brook Lopez	86	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.52	4	-6	10	13.8	15.7	-1.93	13.4	14.2	-0.82
Courtney Lee	83	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.44	-4	2	-6	14.0	14.3	-0.27	13.1	15.2	-2.03
Chris Douglas-Roberts	52	52	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.49	-13	11	-24	14.2	14.0	0.17	14.0	13.2	0.84

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Ellington	50	51	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.47	13	-11	24	13.2	13.9	-0.74	14.0	14.2	-0.20
Al Jefferson	51	54	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.60	6	-4	10	14.2	12.9	1.29	14.3	13.9	0.32
Corey Brewer	72	73	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.51	3	-1	4	13.0	14.9	-1.94	14.3	13.7	0.60
Jonny Flynn	63	65	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.60	-4	6	-10	13.9	13.1	0.75	13.6	14.9	-1.24
Brian Cardinal	40	43	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.22	6	-4	10	14.2	13.2	1.01	14.4	13.9	0.45
Damien Wilkins	56	58	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.36	-11	13	-24	13.6	13.5	0.13	13.6	14.8	-1.24
Ramon Sessions	40	40	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.16	6	-4	10	13.1	13.9	-0.75	14.9	13.6	1.24
Sasha Pavlovic	37	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.24	8	-6	14	14.1	13.3	0.86	14.8	13.7	1.07
Oleksiy Pecherov	14	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	0	2	13.9	13.5	0.40	12.5	14.3	-1.81
Ryan Hollins	50	49	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.14	-4	6	-10	12.6	14.5	-1.87	14.3	14.0	0.30
Ryan Gomes	42	42	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.08	-15	17	-32	14.1	13.2	0.91	13.9	14.3	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.31,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.33,0.26,1	92.8%
TOR 103, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.31,0.15,0.15,0.26,1	92.6%
NJN 101, ATL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.42,1	92.5%