NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	101		Excitement	6.1 [557]		MVP	Henry James (ATL): +37.7%
Atlanta Hawks	109		Comeback	121.0 [35]		LVP	Jim Jackson (NJN): -24.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.05	-0.00	20	64%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eric Montross	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.04	11	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	9	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.03
Xavier McDaniel	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jack Haley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yinka Dare	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.09,0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	25	45%	0.12	2	-0.20	8	87%	0.04
Jim Jackson	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.24,-0.24	-0.12	-0.16	-0.03	12	43%	-0.06	4	-0.19	4	50%	-0.09

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.37,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.25	0.16	0.03	10	104%	0.38	0	0.00	3	100%	0.07
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	8	81%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.08	0.04	11	68%	0.17	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.04
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0	0.00	-0.08	0.09	0.01	13	40%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.09
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	6	65%	0.03	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	16	40%	-0.10	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.8	27.7	16.0	20.1	1.8	38.4	130.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -7.2%

ATL +37.7%

NJN -10.6%

ATL +26.6%

ATL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.9	15.6	114.8	121.1	104.4
season	15.4	16.4		101.7	105.3
opponent	16.0	14.9		100.3	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.7	19.8	15.3	16.5	16.5
ATL	17.2	16.2	17.4	13.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yinka Dare	11	10	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-11	14	20.6	15.9	4.74	16.4	15.8	0.59
Jack Haley	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	5.0	16.6	-11.62	0.0	16.1	-16.06
Xavier McDaniel	18	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.15	-6	-2	-4	18.7	15.9	2.81	16.1	15.8	0.30
Kevin Edwards	5	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.10	-6	-2	-4	20.8	16.2	4.57	16.2	15.9	0.34
Kerry Kittles	85	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.33	-2	-6	4	16.1	27.3	-11.23	15.8	18.0	-2.17
Eric Montross	71	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.44	-1	-7	6	15.3	21.5	-6.17	16.0	15.2	0.81
Kendall Gill	88	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	16.5	0.0	16.49	15.9	0.0	15.88
Jim Jackson	86	87	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	0	-8	16.6	11.0	5.62	15.9	15.0	0.91
Tony Massenburg	75	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	4	-16	16.6	15.7	0.93	15.8	16.2	-0.32

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry James	22	22	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.25	25	-17	42	11.6	17.3	-5.67	16.2	16.6	-0.41
Christian Laettner	72	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-3	14	15.9	15.7	0.26	16.0	18.3	-2.25
Steven Smith	79	75	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.42	4	4	0	16.0	15.0	1.00	14.9	25.6	-10.71
Mookie Blaylock	80	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	2	4	16.1	13.9	2.23	17.0	12.1	4.88
Dikembe Mutombo	78	76	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.52	-2	10	-12	16.1	14.7	1.40	15.8	21.1	-5.32
Alan Henderson	30	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.23	7	1	6	15.3	16.2	-0.92	19.4	15.0	4.42
Eldridge Recasner	47	47	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.20	2	6	-4	14.6	17.3	-2.64	18.6	14.1	4.52
Tyrone Corbin	42	41	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	0.01	-13	21	-34	18.8	13.3	5.54	16.2	16.8	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 120, DAL 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.37,1	93.5%
DAL 82, POR 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.41,1	93.4%
HOU 102, CHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.42,1	92.6%