NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	8.0 [246]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +20.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	19.0 [37]		LVP	Matthew Dellavedova (CLE): -57.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.32,0.21	0.06	0.15	0.00	18	57%	0.27	3	-0.06	13	85%	0.09
Joe Harris	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	12	67%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	10	30%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.06	-0.03	17	46%	0.04	3	-0.11	5	40%	-0.04
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.57	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.57	-0.11	-0.47	-0.02	7	19%	-0.54	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.21

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.19,-0.09,0.19	0.19	-0.08	0.26	-0.02	18	48%	0.35	5	-0.16	6	67%	-0.07
Henry Sims	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.11	-0.01	9	67%	0.18	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
KJ McDaniels	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	75%	0.12	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Aldemir	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.12	-0.01	19	46%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	0.02	9	30%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	28.2	17.4	27.1	1.8	37.7	137.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +68.1%

PHI +2.1%

CLE -26.1%

PHI +3.9%

PHI +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	16.6	14.4	15.1	98.9	102.2	104.2
season	15.9	14.9		108.7	94.3
opponent	14.8	14.9		103.4	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.9	15.8	16.3	17.5	16.6
PHI	15.9	13.7	14.3	13.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	47	49	0.45	-0.95	1.39	0.01	15	-18	33	15.6	17.7	-2.10	15.0	13.7	1.32
Shawn Marion	42	39	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.15	-3	0	-3	17.3	16.0	1.35	14.0	14.6	-0.60
Brendan Haywood	9	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	5	-13	18.0	16.4	1.56	9.7	14.8	-5.04
A.J. Price	26	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	4	-11	19.3	15.6	3.72	14.6	14.3	0.34
Tristan Thompson	77	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-1	-1	16.6	16.3	0.34	14.7	12.7	1.96
James Jones	54	52	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	3	-9	16.5	16.7	-0.26	13.6	15.4	-1.86
Kevin Love	71	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.54	0	-3	3	16.5	16.9	-0.42	14.9	12.2	2.72
Joe Harris	62	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.53	-1	-2	1	16.2	17.4	-1.15	14.4	14.4	-0.03
Matthew Dellavedova	77	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	0	-3	16.2	18.6	-2.46	14.2	15.1	-0.90

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Wroten	51	52	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.47	11	-8	19	13.7	15.2	-1.48	17.3	15.6	1.71
KJ McDaniels	61	64	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.47	11	-8	19	14.3	14.6	-0.28	16.8	16.2	0.61
Henry Sims	45	47	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.58	4	-1	5	14.3	14.5	-0.17	16.3	16.9	-0.64
Robert Covington	78	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	0	3	14.2	15.2	-0.98	16.4	17.4	-0.95
Michael Carter-Williams	81	78	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.38	1	2	-1	14.9	11.0	3.88	16.7	16.3	0.39
Furkan Aldemir	33	36	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.24	9	-6	15	15.3	13.9	1.44	17.4	16.1	1.26
JaKarr Sampson	3	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	5	-7	13.3	14.4	-1.08	19.5	16.5	2.97
Jerami Grant	38	37	-0.20	0.69	-0.89	-0.11	-3	6	-9	13.3	15.1	-1.84	16.4	16.7	-0.40
Nerlens Noel	53	51	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	10	-17	14.4	14.3	0.09	15.9	17.5	-1.57
Malcolm Thomas	22	21	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.06	-12	15	-27	15.6	14.0	1.65	15.8	16.8	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.33,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.31,1	92.8%
DET 98, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.27,1	91.5%
SAC 112, NOP 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.23,0.16,1	91.3%