NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	112		Excitement	8.1 [257]		MVP	Dante Cunningham (NOP): +33.6%
New Orleans Pelicans	115		Comeback	25.3 [54]		LVP	Darren Collison (SAC): -39.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.10	0.00	6	86%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	-0.01	0.00	6	79%	0.14	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.13,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	29	60%	0.19	5	-0.13	9	89%	0.04
Quincy Acy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	13	60%	0.08	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.00	13	64%	0.16	5	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01
Darren Collison	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.39	-0.19	-0.22	-0.02	10	24%	-0.20	6	-0.20	1	100%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.03,0.34	0.34	0.05	0.29	0.00	5	70%	0.34	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.06	0.02	21	61%	0.21	5	-0.11	9	44%	-0.08
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	-0.00	6	69%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Norris Cole	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	19	51%	0.08	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.03
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.09,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	18	54%	0.18	3	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	14	53%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	9	33%	-0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	0.8	26.4	15.4	32.8	1.8	35.2	138.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +33.5%

SAC -8.0%

NOP +6.0%

NOP +23.7%

SAC -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOP	NBA	SAC	NOP	NBA
this game	13.4	12.4	14.9	100.9	102.7	105.1
season	13.9	14.3		104.8	104.3
opponent	15.0	14.6		107.9	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.9	11.7	14.1	16.4	13.4
NOP	11.7	14.0	12.0	11.9	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	32	32	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.05	1	-4	5	14.1	13.1	0.99	11.3	12.9	-1.58
Quincy Acy	48	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-4	5	13.6	13.3	0.39	11.3	13.2	-1.80
Rudy Gay	93	95	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.52	10	-13	23	13.7	11.8	1.96	12.4	12.4	-0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	94	96	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.51	9	-12	21	13.8	11.6	2.17	12.3	13.2	-0.91
Kosta Koufos	17	16	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.10	-12	9	-21	11.6	13.8	-2.17	13.2	12.3	0.91
Marco Belinelli	47	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.40	5	-8	13	14.0	13.0	0.93	12.5	12.3	0.18
Willie Cauley-Stein	14	13	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.11	-14	11	-25	11.6	13.7	-2.12	12.7	12.4	0.32
Omri Casspi	41	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	7	-17	12.1	14.2	-2.06	14.0	11.5	2.51
Rajon Rondo	90	92	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-2	1	13.6	12.8	0.82	12.1	13.6	-1.51
Darren Collison	79	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.46	-4	1	-5	13.1	14.1	-0.99	12.9	11.3	1.58

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	61	63	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.01	24	-21	45	12.3	12.5	-0.22	13.8	13.0	0.78
Norris Cole	92	92	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.47	5	-2	7	11.9	14.8	-2.91	13.6	12.4	1.21
Jrue Holiday	83	80	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.51	-4	7	-11	12.2	13.0	-0.75	14.0	11.8	2.20
Dante Cunningham	66	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.59	-8	11	-19	11.7	13.4	-1.66	14.2	12.3	1.84
Alonzo Gee	48	47	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.10	11	-8	19	12.9	12.0	0.85	12.2	14.3	-2.14
Anthony Davis	88	89	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.45	-8	11	-19	12.0	13.8	-1.81	13.5	13.1	0.41
Kendrick Perkins	42	39	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	4	-5	14.0	11.4	2.58	12.4	14.0	-1.60
Toney Douglas	49	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.15	5	-2	7	13.7	11.4	2.32	12.1	14.5	-2.48
Omer Asik	31	30	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.06	-9	12	-21	12.2	12.5	-0.26	14.1	13.2	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.23,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.33,0.26,1	91.3%
DET 98, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.27,1	90.1%
NOH 99, TOR 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.09,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.69,1	89.3%