inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 98 Excitement7.8 [295] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +84.5%
Miami Heat 100 Comeback15.8 [150] LVPTayshaun Prince (DET): -9.9%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace0.170,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.130.040.011566%0.1700.00250%-0.01
Chauncey Billups0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.130.070.05-0.012063%0.324-0.19683%0.01
Antonio McDyess0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.00580%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Carlos Delfino0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.00283%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Dale Davis0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Richard Hamilton0.010,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.03,0.16,0.16,0.010.04-0.030.001766%0.205-0.194100%0.02
Carlos Arroyo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Maurice Evans-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.00250%0.002-0.05250%-0.01
Tayshaun Prince-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.011221%-0.1000.0000%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.2,0.28,0.39,0.840.840.180.66-0.002759%0.8400.00978%0.03
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.04-0.012457%0.113-0.08650%-0.05
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.02-0.001350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.01643%0.0000.002100%0.01
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.00350%-0.0100.00475%-0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.01540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.02617%-0.0400.0000%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.070.00425%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.23.534.318.527.42.735.2149.8
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +1.5%
MIA +4.9%
MIA +0.3%
MIA +40.6%
MIA +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMIANBADETMIANBA
this game17.315.815.6114.0113.6104.4
season16.915.5108.3106.1
opponent15.515.8102.3101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET17.318.515.418.417.3
MIA14.815.815.916.815.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio McDyess27280.20-0.700.900.065-71215.918.0-2.0916.515.41.09
Carlos Arroyo12110.12-0.620.75-0.025-71221.116.74.3717.515.52.00
Carlos Delfino22220.07-0.570.640.10-1-1018.516.91.6415.415.9-0.58
Maurice Evans990.00-0.500.500.000-2213.817.7-3.9614.316.0-1.63
Dale Davis88-0.02-0.480.450.06-31-415.417.5-2.159.716.4-6.65
Tayshaun Prince7071-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.512-4618.313.25.0816.114.51.57
Rasheed Wallace7880-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.491-3417.713.24.4916.211.64.59
Richard Hamilton7174-0.620.12-0.75-0.48-53-816.521.4-4.9415.815.70.10
Chauncey Billups7477-0.620.12-0.75-0.42-75-1216.721.1-4.3715.517.5-2.00
Ben Wallace5960-0.720.22-0.93-0.51-75-1217.716.51.1815.716.0-0.30

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shandon Anderson29270.76-0.261.010.499-71617.315.12.2116.617.7-1.12
Gary Payton56560.70-0.200.890.4010-81816.115.30.7617.018.0-0.98
Shaquille O'Neal65650.69-0.190.890.468-61415.716.0-0.2218.214.53.71
Dwyane Wade79770.56-0.060.630.454-2615.319.8-4.4417.516.01.48
Udonis Haslem58580.420.080.350.51-35-816.115.20.9517.716.51.17
Antoine Walker45430.030.47-0.44-0.115-3815.616.0-0.4916.018.6-2.56
Jason Williams4342-0.130.63-0.76-0.01-46-1014.916.7-1.8317.217.5-0.31
Alonzo Mourning2321-0.190.69-0.89-0.02-68-1416.015.70.2214.518.2-3.71
James Posey4241-0.340.84-1.180.04-1315-2816.015.60.4419.015.83.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.27,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 70, DEN 720.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.31,0.37,0.22,0.26,193.0%
TOR 79, CHH 810.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.15,0.06,0.26,192.8%
MEM 95, OKC 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.42,191.7%