NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	106		Excitement	7.2 [435]		MVP	JJ Redick (PHI): +16.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	114		Comeback	1.2 [909]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): -21.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Isaac	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.02	0.03	12	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	-0.00	3	71%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Isaiah Briscoe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.08	0.02	21	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.05	-0.14	0.00	18	57%	-0.01	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03
Wes Iwundu	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22	-0.08	-0.14	-0.01	15	37%	-0.11	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	-0.01	0.02	16	72%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.13	0.02	10	58%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	9	61%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.07	0.04	15	62%	0.05	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.00
Justin Patton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ben Simmons	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	15	46%	-0.03	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.6	23.2	14.5	25.4	2.3	34.5	123.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +27.5%

PHI +5.7%

PHI +9.9%

PHI +7.3%

ORL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	13.5	14.3	105.0	112.9	109.3
season	14.9	14.0		107.2	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.3		108.1	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.7	15.2	15.3	12.8	15.0
PHI	12.8	14.8	11.8	14.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wes Iwundu	42	42	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-9	10	15.3	14.7	0.60	14.6	12.8	1.77
Isaiah Briscoe	49	50	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-11	14	16.3	13.7	2.61	15.3	11.8	3.42
Khem Birch	30	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-6	4	14.4	15.2	-0.83	14.5	13.1	1.42
Jarell Martin	26	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-3	-2	15.0	15.0	0.08	13.3	13.6	-0.25
Aaron Gordon	80	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-4	0	15.1	14.5	0.64	13.3	14.3	-0.95
Nikola Vucevic	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	15.2	14.4	0.83	13.1	14.5	-1.42
Evan Fournier	76	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-1	-6	14.0	17.9	-3.91	13.6	13.3	0.38
Jonathan Isaac	68	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.27	-9	1	-10	15.0	14.8	0.20	12.8	15.1	-2.27
D.J. Augustin	63	63	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.24	-11	3	-14	14.6	15.6	-1.00	12.5	15.3	-2.81

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	67	67	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.12	16	-8	24	13.0	14.6	-1.59	14.3	16.4	-2.11
Jimmy Butler	74	73	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.29	10	-2	12	13.0	14.9	-1.90	14.8	15.5	-0.77
Tobias Harris	74	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-7	22	12.7	15.8	-3.11	15.0	14.8	0.24
Ben Simmons	83	84	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	2	4	13.7	12.7	1.06	15.1	14.4	0.68
Amir Johnson	42	43	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	-4	16	12.5	14.2	-1.69	15.1	14.9	0.28
Mike Scott	55	55	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.26	0	8	-8	14.2	12.7	1.54	15.8	14.0	1.76
Jonathon Simmons	52	53	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	12	-16	14.6	12.4	2.11	15.8	14.1	1.75
Justin Patton	22	20	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	12	-16	13.5	13.5	-0.04	13.4	15.4	-1.91
T.J. McConnell	36	34	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	19	-30	15.5	12.5	3.01	14.5	15.2	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 89, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.71,0.73,0.55,0.78,0.85,0.96,1	93.5%
UTA 109, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.96,1	93.5%
CHA 99, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.9,0.84,1	93.0%