NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	109		Excitement	7.2 [337]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): +13.8%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	1.2 [394]		LVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): -11.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	8	65%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08	0.16	-0.05	0.03	18	67%	0.09	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.04
Deron Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.12	-0.09	-0.02	16	68%	0.21	3	-0.16	6	83%	0.01
Jason Hart	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	9	59%	0.05	3	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	11	33%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Harpring	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	-0.02	0.02	14	78%	0.30	4	-0.16	8	87%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	5	73%	0.15	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.13,0.06,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	15	71%	0.25	3	-0.14	5	60%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	16	55%	0.09	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.3	27.5	16.3	27.6	2.5	36.3	137.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +41.6%

NYK +20.3%

UTA -16.0%

NYK +1.4%

NYK +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NYK	NBA	UTA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	15.4	118.5	124.2	105.7
season	15.5	15.7		111.2	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.0		109.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.2	14.6	16.4	16.3	15.6
NYK	16.1	16.8	14.9	15.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	12	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-3	2	19.0	15.1	3.90	14.8	16.0	-1.20
Matt Harpring	31	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-1	-2	19.3	13.7	5.60	16.9	15.4	1.49
Carlos Boozer	59	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.36	7	-11	18	14.7	17.2	-2.50	16.1	15.5	0.60
Jason Hart	12	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	2	-8	17.2	15.4	1.79	18.2	15.5	2.63
Ronnie Price	26	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	2	-8	18.0	14.7	3.39	16.4	15.7	0.68
Deron Williams	80	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-6	8	15.4	17.2	-1.79	15.5	18.2	-2.63
Ronnie Brewer	66	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-4	4	14.7	18.0	-3.39	15.7	16.4	-0.68
Paul Millsap	44	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	4	-12	17.5	13.9	3.67	15.8	15.9	-0.12
Andrei Kirilenko	61	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-3	2	13.7	19.3	-5.60	15.4	16.9	-1.49
Mehmet Okur	69	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	0	-4	14.6	18.7	-4.17	15.9	15.8	0.08

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	62	63	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-4	12	15.7	16.2	-0.45	16.5	13.7	2.80
Jamal Crawford	79	78	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	-1	6	15.6	17.8	-2.26	15.3	17.1	-1.81
Quentin Richardson	70	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	4	-4	15.8	16.2	-0.48	15.0	17.5	-2.49
Stephon Marbury	72	72	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	4	-4	15.6	16.7	-1.10	14.7	18.8	-4.08
Zach Randolph	67	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	2	0	15.8	16.0	-0.12	15.2	16.7	-1.50
Renaldo Balkman	26	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	0	4	16.4	15.7	0.72	17.6	14.7	2.92
Nate Robinson	24	25	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	-1	6	16.9	15.5	1.37	17.7	14.8	2.84
Jared Jeffries	17	18	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	2	0	16.6	15.7	0.96	16.9	15.3	1.66
David Lee	38	42	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.15	-6	10	-16	16.1	15.7	0.36	14.9	16.2	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 80, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.68,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.96,0.94,0.98,1	94.0%
DAL 97, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.88,0.68,0.84,0.78,0.9,1	93.8%
CLE 97, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.98,1	93.7%