inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 97 Excitement7.7 [269] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +8.9%
Los Angeles Lakers 99 Comeback1.1 [1042] LVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): -29.3%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.050.07-0.000.021958%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Mark Bryant0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.01450%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Loy Vaught-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00540%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Courtney Alexander-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.011540%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.01757%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Greg Buckner-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06-0.02-0.040.00657%0.042-0.102100%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.020.051666%0.085-0.14683%0.02
Howard Eisley-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14-0.03-0.11-0.001445%0.011-0.15367%-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.090.09-0.010.09-0.012858%0.306-0.21978%0.01
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.07-0.00343%0.061-0.021100%0.00
Greg Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00175%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02550%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Devean George00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Horace Grant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.02-0.01440%0.011-0.032100%0.04
Mike Penberthy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Ron Harper0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.001136%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.050.00420%-0.111-0.022100%0.01
Isaiah Rider0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.02-0.120.00950%-0.121-0.024100%0.02
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.17-0.14-0.021944%-0.262-0.041926%-0.34
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.02.527.516.428.42.442.8141.9
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +3.4%
DAL -3.9%
LAL +42.2%
LAL +11.4%
DAL -3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALLALNBADALLALNBA
this game15.815.015.5104.3105.3100.9
season15.215.6104.6106.8
opponent15.215.3101.8101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL16.316.717.013.715.8
LAL14.414.717.214.015.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Bryant980.02-0.520.53-0.073-5820.115.44.7317.114.82.36
Shawn Bradley2627-0.13-0.370.230.04-64-1017.115.41.7215.414.80.67
Dirk Nowitzki7577-0.20-0.300.11-0.438-101815.318.2-2.9614.716.1-1.33
Courtney Alexander7271-0.21-0.290.07-0.396-81414.620.1-5.5614.815.4-0.56
Christian Laettner3840-0.24-0.260.02-0.18-20-215.815.9-0.1314.915.0-0.03
Loy Vaught2726-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.16-75-1216.615.51.1113.815.4-1.60
Howard Eisley8788-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.35-20-216.013.72.3215.310.34.95
Michael Finley8486-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.441-3415.815.80.0715.68.47.21
Greg Buckner4747-0.550.05-0.59-0.22-119-2016.515.21.3213.916.1-2.19

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ron Harper63620.72-0.220.950.498-61414.516.0-1.4915.416.8-1.45
Kobe Bryant88870.470.030.440.4411015.112.32.8115.718.2-2.49
Isaiah Rider54540.410.090.320.4102-214.216.0-1.8015.016.9-1.91
Shaquille O'Neal69690.380.120.250.177-51215.912.43.4417.211.95.34
Robert Horry63610.340.160.180.46-46-1014.815.3-0.5315.516.4-0.91
Horace Grant48460.150.35-0.200.21-24-614.615.3-0.7014.916.7-1.79
Greg Foster670.130.37-0.240.043-1411.815.2-3.3517.015.71.26
Rick Fox40390.090.41-0.320.0320216.014.21.8016.915.01.91
Devean George120.020.48-0.460.0202-27.015.1-8.052.516.1-13.63
Mike Penberthy770.020.48-0.47-0.0111011.415.3-3.8215.615.9-0.29
Brian Shaw3131-0.220.72-0.95-0.05-68-1416.014.51.4916.815.41.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.88,0.68,0.84,0.78,0.9,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 97, LAC 1040.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.98,194.0%
NYK 89, DET 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.8,0.96,1,1,193.8%
UTA 109, NYK 1130.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.96,193.8%