NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	99		Excitement	7.5 [358]		MVP	Bernard Robinson (CHA): +25.5%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	1.5 [797]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -11.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bernard Robinson	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.26	0.12	0.14	0.01	9	86%	0.28	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jason Hart	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.05,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	7	85%	0.22	2	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Kareem Rush	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Keith Bogans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Melvin Ely	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Theron Smith	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	10	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	7	54%	-0.05	3	-0.06	10	70%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.08	-0.01	18	61%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.12	0.00	7	70%	0.18	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.05	0.16	-0.01	6	58%	0.27	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.01	8	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.07
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	13	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	58%	0.01	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.7	32.8	15.8	28.0	1.8	36.3	138.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +28.1%

CHA -9.2%

NYK +29.8%

NYK +3.7%

CHA -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.7	17.0	15.5	116.5	118.6	104.0
season	15.5	15.8		99.0	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.1		106.5	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.2	15.0	17.4	16.3	16.7
NYK	16.9	13.9	17.7	20.7	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	30	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-4	5	17.8	16.0	1.82	15.6	17.9	-2.33
Theron Smith	39	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-3	3	17.7	15.8	1.96	18.4	15.7	2.70
Brevin Knight	27	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	0	-3	18.3	15.9	2.45	16.3	17.4	-1.11
Steven Smith	28	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	0	-3	15.0	17.5	-2.42	17.3	16.9	0.39
Jason Kapono	22	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	0	-3	14.9	17.3	-2.36	19.3	16.2	3.05
Bernard Robinson	44	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-3	3	15.1	18.4	-3.30	17.9	16.1	1.81
Jason Hart	58	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-3	3	15.9	18.3	-2.45	17.4	16.3	1.11
Kareem Rush	44	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	0	-3	15.6	17.8	-2.21	16.4	17.6	-1.21
Melvin Ely	68	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-1	-1	17.9	11.6	6.34	16.6	18.4	-1.80
Gerald Wallace	65	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.36	-2	-1	-1	17.2	14.7	2.50	16.1	19.8	-3.62

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	61	61	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	-3	9	15.4	20.9	-5.44	16.9	16.0	0.92
Jamal Crawford	62	60	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-3	9	17.1	16.8	0.26	15.3	19.9	-4.56
Stephon Marbury	72	71	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.37	3	0	3	16.3	20.9	-4.58	16.4	18.1	-1.69
Kurt Thomas	60	61	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.32	2	1	1	16.1	19.1	-3.00	17.1	15.5	1.56
Anfernee Hardaway	50	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	2	-1	18.0	15.7	2.29	15.6	18.1	-2.52
Jerome Williams	23	21	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	2	-1	19.6	16.1	3.47	15.8	16.9	-1.13
Trevor Ariza	31	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	3	-3	15.7	17.7	-2.00	18.0	15.9	2.16
Moochie Norris	14	14	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	3	-3	20.9	16.3	4.58	18.1	16.4	1.69
Nazr Mohammed	24	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	5	-7	18.0	16.7	1.30	19.9	15.4	4.48
Michael Sweetney	33	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.02	-2	5	-7	18.8	15.9	2.81	16.3	16.9	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.9,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 87, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.85,0.73,0.76,0.88,0.98,0.85,1	93.6%
WAS 95, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.77,0.86,0.8,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.91,0.96,1	93.6%
ATL 108, NYK 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.83,1	93.5%