NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	87		Excitement	6.5 [530]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +8.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	89		Comeback	1.6 [380]		LVP	Juan Dixon (POR): -14.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	21	64%	0.24	5	-0.16	11	91%	0.04
Juwan Howard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.12	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07	0.02	-0.09	0.00	16	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	10	27%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	0.06	17	54%	0.00	5	-0.13	3	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.00	6	69%	0.15	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	12	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	47%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	20	49%	0.03	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.03
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	8	25%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	26.3	15.4	26.2	2.6	31.0	127.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +26.6%

HOU -4.4%

POR +17.0%

POR +3.0%

POR +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	18.0	15.4	101.2	102.3	104.5
season	15.6	16.7		103.6	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.7		108.3	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.1	16.4	13.3	13.4	15.3
POR	15.4	17.9	18.8	19.9	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	8	10	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-6	10	14.0	15.4	-1.41	20.9	17.6	3.28
Steve Novak	2	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.09	2	-4	6	5.0	15.5	-10.52	2.5	18.4	-15.86
Dikembe Mutombo	7	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	4	-10	18.0	15.0	2.96	17.8	18.0	-0.18
Charles Hayes	35	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	4	-10	16.5	14.4	2.13	16.1	19.3	-3.20
Bonzi Wells	38	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	3	-8	16.3	14.5	1.76	20.0	16.3	3.69
Shane Battier	70	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-2	2	14.8	17.5	-2.73	17.7	19.3	-1.61
Juwan Howard	46	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	1	-4	15.7	14.8	0.85	19.8	16.0	3.83
Yao Ming	74	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.52	5	-7	12	14.6	19.5	-4.91	17.8	19.1	-1.26
Rafer Alston	80	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-2	2	15.3	14.7	0.66	18.1	17.0	1.09
Luther Head	70	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-1	0	15.2	15.6	-0.42	17.1	22.0	-4.90

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	72	72	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	-1	4	17.6	19.9	-2.26	15.2	15.9	-0.78
Zach Randolph	67	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	1	0	17.7	19.1	-1.43	14.8	16.8	-1.98
Juan Dixon	39	37	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	-3	8	18.2	17.9	0.28	15.9	14.8	1.08
Joel Przybilla	47	47	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	1	0	16.7	19.6	-2.92	14.7	15.9	-1.23
Brandon Roy	42	41	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.31	-2	4	-6	19.7	16.4	3.27	15.0	15.6	-0.63
Ime Udoka	43	45	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.20	0	2	-2	16.5	19.4	-2.90	15.2	15.3	-0.12
Jamaal Magloire	35	35	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	-2	6	19.4	17.1	2.34	15.9	14.8	1.12
Travis Outlaw	39	37	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	4	-6	20.6	15.9	4.65	15.8	14.9	0.93
LaMarcus Aldridge	6	6	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	-1	4	19.8	17.9	1.97	15.2	15.3	-0.12
Martell Webster	44	44	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	5	-8	16.9	19.1	-2.21	15.7	14.9	0.78
Sergio Rodriguez	1	0	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	2	-2	5.0	18.2	-13.15	0.0	15.3	-15.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.85,0.73,0.76,0.88,0.98,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.99,1,1	93.6%
CHA 99, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.9,0.84,1	93.6%
MIL 87, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.83,0.73,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.99,1,1	93.5%