NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	87		Excitement	5.0 [840]		MVP	Larry Sanders (MIL): +13.8%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	1.5 [931]		LVP	Ersan Ilyasova (MIL): -11.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Sanders	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	7	100%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miroslav Raduljica	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	58%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.05	6	62%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	12	31%	-0.08	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	8	60%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	16	63%	0.16	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	12	46%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	5	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	16	60%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	58%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.4	24.4	15.5	24.9	1.5	28.6	117.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +16.4%

UTA +9.7%

UTA +17.2%

UTA +4.3%

UTA +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	UTA	NBA	MIL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	17.3	15.1	98.9	107.9	105.2
season	15.7	16.2		101.4	102.1
opponent	14.8	15.1		109.6	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.3	18.0	13.1	14.7	15.2
UTA	18.1	16.3	16.3	18.7	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	35	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-4	-1	14.5	15.6	-1.06	17.4	17.3	0.04
Miroslav Raduljica	23	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-4	-1	17.0	14.6	2.40	16.4	17.7	-1.29
Gary Neal	30	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.15	-1	-8	7	16.6	14.5	2.10	16.7	17.7	-1.03
Giannis Antetokounmpo	62	64	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.24	1	-10	11	14.4	17.0	-2.53	18.0	15.8	2.15
Khris Middleton	35	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-2	-5	16.2	14.5	1.74	16.8	17.7	-0.90
Brandon Knight	59	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-5	1	14.4	16.8	-2.35	17.7	16.6	1.08
Caron Butler	30	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-2	-5	16.0	14.7	1.29	16.5	17.8	-1.38
Luke Ridnour	67	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-5	1	15.1	15.5	-0.45	18.2	14.8	3.36
O.J. Mayo	34	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	0	-9	15.7	14.9	0.85	15.9	18.2	-2.32
Larry Sanders	65	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-5	1	14.6	17.0	-2.40	17.7	16.4	1.29

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	75	75	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.22	15	-6	21	16.9	19.5	-2.55	15.2	14.9	0.30
Alec Burks	55	55	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	-2	13	17.2	17.6	-0.34	15.7	14.4	1.31
Diante Garrett	37	36	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	-1	11	16.6	17.9	-1.24	15.9	14.7	1.24
Marvin Williams	54	54	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	7	-5	17.9	16.4	1.52	14.4	16.4	-2.05
Derrick Favors	54	54	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	7	-5	17.9	16.4	1.52	14.4	16.4	-2.05
Jeremy Evans	35	34	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	2	5	16.4	17.9	-1.52	16.4	14.4	2.05
Enes Kanter	35	34	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	2	5	16.4	17.9	-1.52	16.4	14.4	2.05
Trey Burke	52	52	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	10	-11	17.9	16.6	1.24	14.7	15.9	-1.24
Richard Jefferson	48	46	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	17	-25	18.1	16.4	1.69	14.5	15.9	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.83,0.73,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 93, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.91,1	94.8%
NYK 91, BOS 100	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.99,1,1	94.8%
NJN 85, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	94.4%