NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	108		Excitement	6.7 [439]		MVP	Charles Oakley (NYK): +27.7%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	1.3 [685]		LVP	John Starks (NYK): -15.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anderson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.11	0.00	3	100%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.01	17	60%	0.12	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Christian Laettner	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.01	10	69%	0.10	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.05
Dikembe Mutombo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	7	70%	0.08	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.04
Tyrone Corbin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Alan Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	11	58%	0.00	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.02
Chris Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Drew Barry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.05	0.03	8	61%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.11	0.17	0.00	7	87%	0.28	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.12	0.01	9	61%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.00	14	60%	0.15	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.05
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Herb Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bowie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.01	14	61%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	15	50%	-0.06	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	0.8	32.5	17.3	20.5	2.3	42.6	143.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +26.7%

ATL -19.5%

NYK +23.9%

ATL -4.5%

NYK +23.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	18.6	17.6	15.6	136.7	136.2	102.5
season	16.1	15.7		105.3	100.4
opponent	16.3	16.0		98.6	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	19.1	18.8	20.3	16.4	18.6
NYK	16.9	17.2	17.6	18.7	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anderson	12	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.25	6	-7	13	19.6	18.4	1.17	23.8	16.4	7.32
Drew Barry	26	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.27	5	-6	11	17.8	19.0	-1.17	19.4	16.7	2.65
Chris Crawford	19	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	4	-9	17.5	18.9	-1.48	14.4	18.9	-4.52
Dikembe Mutombo	52	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.13	-5	4	-9	18.8	18.3	0.51	16.7	19.2	-2.55
Alan Henderson	59	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	2	-5	18.8	17.8	1.00	16.6	20.6	-4.04
Tyrone Corbin	70	68	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.47	4	-5	9	18.8	17.2	1.55	18.4	13.6	4.77
Christian Laettner	37	40	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.35	-1	0	-1	17.8	19.3	-1.42	17.8	17.4	0.42
Steven Smith	66	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.47	2	-3	5	18.6	18.4	0.25	18.3	14.0	4.34
Eldridge Recasner	54	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.18	-8	7	-15	18.9	17.8	1.10	16.7	19.5	-2.78

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	69	70	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.64	4	-3	7	18.0	15.5	2.53	18.3	21.0	-2.71
Allan Houston	55	55	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	-3	7	17.2	18.6	-1.46	19.6	16.4	3.19
Charlie Ward	51	51	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.46	-1	2	-3	18.1	16.9	1.22	18.5	18.9	-0.41
Charles Oakley	45	46	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	2	-3	17.6	17.7	-0.09	18.8	18.3	0.50
Larry Johnson	62	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	2	-3	18.0	16.2	1.83	19.0	16.9	2.08
Herb Williams	12	12	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	-1	3	15.7	18.0	-2.22	17.0	18.9	-1.88
Chris Childs	31	30	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	-2	5	17.2	17.9	-0.78	18.5	18.7	-0.15
Anthony Bowie	3	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	2	-3	15.0	17.7	-2.74	14.3	18.8	-4.43
Chris Mills	37	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	4	-7	18.2	17.2	0.98	18.0	19.1	-1.07
Terry Cummings	35	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	2	-3	17.1	18.1	-0.98	18.4	18.7	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 99, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.9,0.84,1	93.5%
HOU 107, POR 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.84,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.99,1	93.0%
PHX 116, MIN 121	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.6,0.67,0.47,0.54,0.78,0.91,1	93.0%