NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	89		Excitement	6.0 [618]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +13.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	1.3 [1047]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (NOK): -19.7%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	10	70%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	21	52%	0.09	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Linton Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Desmond Mason	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Rasual Butler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Brown	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	11	37%	-0.07	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.03	0.04	22	69%	0.26	4	-0.13	7	57%	-0.03
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	8	71%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	60%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	10	52%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	0.06	-0.01	16	33%	0.03	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	32.2	15.8	24.8	2.5	26.4	127.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +43.7%

CLE +6.1%

NOK -2.9%

CLE +4.7%

NOK -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	CLE	NBA	NOK	CLE	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	15.4	94.7	103.2	104.5
season	16.0	16.0		102.8	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.3		99.6	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	14.6	16.3	15.9	12.4	14.8
CLE	14.2	16.5	14.1	18.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hilton Armstrong	21	21	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.11	8	-16	24	15.5	14.6	0.93	17.6	15.3	2.29
Rasual Butler	12	12	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.03	5	-13	18	17.5	14.4	3.10	17.6	15.6	2.00
Bobby Jackson	56	56	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.26	10	-18	28	14.4	15.3	-0.87	16.0	15.6	0.39
Jannero Pargo	43	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-13	18	14.4	15.1	-0.74	17.1	14.8	2.27
Linton Johnson	38	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-6	4	14.6	14.9	-0.32	15.7	15.9	-0.28
Devin Brown	39	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	7	-22	14.8	14.8	-0.05	14.8	16.6	-1.74
Tyson Chandler	60	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	1	-10	14.4	15.4	-1.01	15.4	16.6	-1.18
Chris Paul	63	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	4	-16	14.9	14.6	0.23	16.0	15.4	0.62
David West	75	75	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	4	-16	14.5	16.1	-1.64	16.0	15.4	0.59
Desmond Mason	63	63	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.20	-18	10	-28	15.4	13.5	1.91	14.7	18.1	-3.37

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	85	85	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.20	16	-8	24	15.4	19.8	-4.35	15.0	12.8	2.23
Daniel Gibson	51	51	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.15	10	-2	12	15.9	15.8	0.05	15.1	14.4	0.66
Larry Hughes	84	84	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	3	2	15.9	15.1	0.83	14.9	14.0	0.89
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	58	59	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	1	6	16.1	15.4	0.64	14.9	14.7	0.18
Anderson Varejao	57	55	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	8	-8	16.4	15.1	1.30	14.0	15.9	-1.84
Drew Gooden	47	47	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	2	4	15.2	16.5	-1.34	16.2	13.4	2.74
Donyell Marshall	26	27	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	5	-2	15.4	16.0	-0.63	13.8	15.2	-1.38
Sasha Pavlovic	37	36	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	12	-16	15.9	15.8	0.17	13.6	15.6	-1.97
Eric Snow	25	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	11	-14	16.8	15.5	1.25	14.9	14.8	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.71,0.73,0.55,0.78,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 106, PHI 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.92,1	93.5%
UTA 89, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.91,1	93.3%
GSW 92, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.99,1	92.8%