NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	89		Excitement	7.2 [406]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +33.7%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	1.3 [845]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -15.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	8	76%	0.20	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	60%	0.06	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.00
Deron Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.01	12	58%	0.15	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	10	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	9	56%	-0.02	3	-0.06	9	78%	-0.03
Mehmet Okur	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.15	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	13	43%	-0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.08	0.27	0.02	24	50%	0.34	0	0.00	12	75%	-0.02
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.15	0.00	8	71%	0.26	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	11	64%	0.21	2	-0.12	14	86%	0.04
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	10	62%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	73%	0.06	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Hassan Adams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	42%	-0.02	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.0	28.2	15.4	30.0	2.0	35.2	140.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +39.2%

NJN +28.0%

UTA -26.7%

NJN +13.2%

UTA -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NJN	NBA	UTA	NJN	NBA
this game	16.2	14.8	15.4	96.7	102.1	104.5
season	15.9	15.4		107.4	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.0		103.8	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.6	15.4	15.5	16.4	16.2
NJN	16.0	14.6	14.0	14.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	37	36	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.16	15	-22	37	16.1	16.2	-0.18	15.4	14.4	1.01
Jarron Collins	15	15	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.08	9	-16	25	16.1	16.2	-0.04	15.3	14.7	0.61
Gordan Giricek	38	39	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-11	15	15.1	16.9	-1.80	14.1	15.3	-1.22
Matt Harpring	57	57	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.33	8	-15	23	15.4	17.5	-2.09	15.1	14.4	0.64
CJ Miles	18	20	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	3	-13	19.4	15.4	4.01	16.0	14.5	1.56
Derek Fisher	47	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	-6	5	15.0	17.4	-2.42	14.9	14.7	0.18
Carlos Boozer	49	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	6	-19	16.3	16.0	0.26	14.9	14.8	0.10
Mehmet Okur	63	65	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.18	-16	9	-25	16.6	15.2	1.40	14.6	15.3	-0.71
Andrei Kirilenko	66	69	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.15	-17	10	-27	16.7	14.8	1.84	14.6	15.3	-0.68
Deron Williams	70	72	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.28	-14	7	-21	16.4	15.3	1.17	14.5	15.8	-1.24

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	75	75	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.18	17	-10	27	14.4	16.4	-1.94	16.1	16.5	-0.38
Jason Kidd	74	72	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.21	15	-8	23	14.8	14.8	-0.04	16.1	16.5	-0.43
Jason Collins	50	47	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	-9	25	14.4	15.3	-0.94	17.2	15.1	2.10
Richard Jefferson	65	62	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-2	11	15.1	14.2	0.84	16.7	15.0	1.73
Nenad Krstic	62	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	-3	13	15.4	13.7	1.62	16.6	15.4	1.21
Antoine Wright	62	61	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.25	0	7	-7	14.8	14.9	-0.08	16.0	16.5	-0.53
Marcus Williams	36	36	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	9	-11	14.2	15.2	-0.97	14.9	17.0	-2.09
Hassan Adams	4	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	18.5	14.7	3.84	17.7	16.1	1.66
Bostjan Nachbar	18	18	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.17	-14	21	-35	15.4	14.7	0.77	15.0	16.4	-1.45
Clifford Robinson	24	25	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.12	-14	21	-35	14.7	14.8	-0.09	15.2	16.5	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 76, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.91,1	94.3%
OKC 101, MEM 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.92,1	93.8%
NOK 89, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.71,0.73,0.55,0.78,0.85,0.96,1	93.3%