NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	168		Excitement	20.0 [2]		MVP	Otto Porter Jr. (CHI): +51.8%
Atlanta Hawks	161		Comeback	25.5 [62]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): -23.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0.52	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52	0.11	0.37	-0.04	25	57%	0.61	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.28
Lauri Markkanen	0.45	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.45,0.45	0.18	0.25	-0.01	18	65%	0.47	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.09
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.07	0.22	-0.01	5	83%	0.32	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.21,0.21	0.03	0.17	-0.01	8	61%	0.24	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille Harrison	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.04	0.00	6	68%	0.14	0	0.00	7	71%	0.02
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kris Dunn	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.09	0.01	11	58%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wayne Selden	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	28%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Zach LaVine	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,-0.01,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.1,0.07,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0.33,-0.14,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.22	0.04	-0.25	0.02	35	58%	0.51	8	-0.73	11	64%	-0.13

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.32,0.36,0.71,0.85,0.92,1.11,1,1.15,1.13,1.13,1.04,1.04,1.04,1.04,1.04,1,0.94,0.75,0.75,0.59,0.46,0.5,0.5	0.50	0.12	0.37	-0.01	33	64%	1.31	9	-0.81	11	82%	0.07
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.16	0.30	0.00	12	73%	0.48	1	-0.02	9	44%	-0.17
Kevin Huerter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.01	12	62%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.06	0.04	10	85%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	11	61%	0.14	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Jaylen Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omari Spellman	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-0.19	0.00	11	59%	0.07	2	-0.24	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.00	-0.20	0.00	14	46%	-0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	8	22%	-0.17	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2		OT3		OT4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	28.5	14.6	27.3	2.4	32.9	1.8	17.2	2.4	13.4	2.5	23.2	2.4	16.5	212.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	3.3	15.6	3.3	15.6	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -44.7%

CHI +63.1%

CHI +39.8%

CHI +16.2%

ATL -24.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	13.9	14.3	116.7	111.0	109.3
season	14.6	13.6		104.2	107.2
opponent	13.9	14.3		112.6	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	14.5	12.4	13.7	16.0	15.4	14.3
ATL	12.1	16.9	14.5	11.7	11.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	85	86	1.33	-0.83	2.16	0.77	19	-12	31	14.5	14.1	0.33	13.4	14.6	-1.25
Ryan Arcidiacono	82	80	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.51	11	-4	15	14.0	14.7	-0.69	13.9	13.9	0.02
Otto Porter Jr.	116	115	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-5	17	14.4	14.0	0.46	14.0	13.4	0.59
Zach LaVine	118	118	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.30	5	2	3	14.5	13.7	0.74	13.8	14.6	-0.80
Shaquille Harrison	32	33	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	2	3	13.0	14.7	-1.71	14.7	13.7	1.03
Lauri Markkanen	113	111	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.23	14	-7	21	14.6	13.3	1.29	14.3	12.7	1.53
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	30	33	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	8	-9	13.2	14.6	-1.47	14.3	13.8	0.52
Cristiano Felicio	11	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	8	-9	12.6	14.5	-1.84	14.7	13.8	0.92
Wayne Selden	67	70	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.20	-17	24	-41	14.5	14.2	0.38	13.1	14.6	-1.50
Kris Dunn	66	67	-0.89	1.39	-2.28	-0.54	-12	19	-31	14.9	13.8	1.06	14.1	13.8	0.32

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Anderson	13	8	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.48	-3	-4	1	11.7	14.1	-2.43	12.7	14.4	-1.68
Dewayne Dedmon	70	70	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.16	7	-14	21	13.8	14.0	-0.28	14.8	13.9	0.94
Jaylen Adams	25	26	0.09	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-12	17	12.3	14.2	-1.96	14.9	14.2	0.67
Kevin Huerter	65	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.29	-12	5	-17	14.9	13.1	1.82	14.3	14.4	-0.08
Taurean Prince	67	69	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-8	9	14.2	13.6	0.62	14.2	14.4	-0.22
Omari Spellman	42	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	1	-9	15.3	13.3	1.95	13.6	14.6	-0.98
DeAndre' Bembry	77	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.41	3	-10	13	13.3	14.6	-1.32	14.6	14.0	0.59
Alex Len	77	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	0	-7	13.7	14.1	-0.35	14.0	14.7	-0.63
Vince Carter	94	94	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.48	-2	-5	3	13.4	14.8	-1.36	14.5	14.0	0.51
Trae Young	119	119	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.29	-9	2	-11	14.4	11.4	3.02	14.1	15.4	-1.34
Kent Bazemore	65	65	-1.14	0.64	-1.79	-0.85	-10	3	-13	13.8	13.9	-0.10	14.4	14.3	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.31,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.39,0.1,0.16,0.65,0.96,0.54,0.74,0.54,0.55,0.28,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.84,0.9,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.78,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.43,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 106, CLE 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.34,0.58,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.72,0.91,1,1	85.1%
MIL 98, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.68,0.74,1	84.7%
DEN 106, LAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.54,0.78,0.92,1	84.6%