NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	106		Excitement	13.6 [5]		MVP	Matt Carroll (CHA): +32.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Comeback	10.6 [135]		LVP	Jason Richardson (CHA): -73.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.51,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.12	0.20	-0.00	11	69%	0.32	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Raymond Felton	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	-0.05	0.25	0.00	13	43%	0.24	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	19	49%	0.08	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Jared Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.06	-0.08	0.03	22	57%	0.06	3	-0.12	3	33%	-0.09
Emeka Okafor	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.32,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27	-0.03	-0.24	0.00	4	56%	0.07	3	-0.34	8	62%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.74	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.53,-0.53,-0.62,-0.62,-0.62,-0.62,-0.62,-0.69,-0.69,-0.74,-0.74	-0.17	-0.52	0.05	26	35%	-0.28	5	-0.46	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.02	0.31	0.02	11	62%	0.38	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.05	0.16	-0.00	4	75%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.06,0.15,0.05,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,-0.02,0.12,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.19	0.19	-0.04	0.22	-0.00	20	56%	0.40	8	-0.21	15	60%	-0.13
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	7	82%	0.13	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	13	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	0.04	-0.21	0.03	11	55%	-0.18	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.07	-0.16	0.00	11	42%	-0.08	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	28.2	14.7	23.5	2.6	33.2	1.8	14.6	1.8	14.7	161.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA -7.7%

CLE +43.8%

CLE +5.6%

CLE +35.3%

CHA -27.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CLE	NBA	CHA	CLE	NBA
this game	16.1	14.7	15.4	93.8	100.0	105.7
season	15.8	16.4		103.1	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.1		104.1	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	13.8	15.9	15.6	20.0	16.0	16.1
CLE	13.4	14.1	15.7	14.2	16.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	45	45	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.15	-2	-5	3	15.8	16.4	-0.61	14.1	15.0	-0.93
Jared Dudley	9	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.07	-5	-2	-3	15.2	16.2	-0.98	10.7	15.0	-4.35
Ryan Hollins	4	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-2	-3	14.0	16.2	-2.20	11.8	14.8	-3.01
Emeka Okafor	69	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-7	7	16.3	15.8	0.50	15.2	13.9	1.32
Nazr Mohammed	55	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	2	-11	16.1	16.2	-0.14	14.3	15.1	-0.80
Raymond Felton	107	105	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-6	5	16.3	12.7	3.65	15.1	9.5	5.57
Matt Carroll	71	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	1	-9	16.3	15.9	0.39	15.0	14.0	0.98
Gerald Wallace	105	105	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-4	1	16.1	16.1	-0.00	14.9	11.6	3.28
Jason Richardson	100	101	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.52	-2	-5	3	16.0	16.7	-0.64	14.4	17.1	-2.70

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	79	79	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.23	20	-13	33	14.9	14.1	0.84	16.4	15.5	0.93
Daniel Gibson	68	67	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.29	17	-10	27	14.6	14.8	-0.14	16.6	15.5	1.13
Damon Jones	45	42	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.15	19	-12	31	14.9	14.5	0.43	16.7	15.8	0.98
Drew Gooden	64	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	3	1	15.0	14.2	0.86	17.1	14.8	2.32
LeBron James	97	98	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	9	-11	14.5	16.0	-1.55	15.9	17.7	-1.86
Dwayne Jones	6	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	10	-13	13.2	14.8	-1.59	13.2	16.3	-3.12
Larry Hughes	75	76	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.17	-11	18	-29	14.3	15.5	-1.21	15.6	17.1	-1.46
Sasha Pavlovic	36	36	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.01	-10	17	-27	14.1	15.0	-0.91	15.8	16.3	-0.47
Devin Brown	29	28	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.49	7	0	7	15.1	14.5	0.58	16.3	16.1	0.22
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	48	48	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	0.05	-13	20	-33	14.4	14.9	-0.48	15.0	17.0	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.34,0.58,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.72,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 113, MIN 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.1,0.1,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.29,0.41,0.16,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.68,0.92,1	87.8%
WAS 99, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.23,0.73,0	86.5%
HOU 97, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.08,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.84,1	86.4%