NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	99		Excitement	8.8 [159]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +67.3%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	2.9 [222]		LVP	Chris Webber (DET): -17.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.67	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.46,0.35,0.67	0.24	0.43	0.00	23	67%	0.67	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Caron Butler	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.17	-0.07	0.23	-0.01	9	33%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.16
Brendan Haywood	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	62%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Gilbert Arenas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.07	0.00	27	44%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Jarvis Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	8	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	5	75%	0.07	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.28,0.49	0.49	0.07	0.42	-0.00	10	61%	0.54	1	-0.05	8	75%	0.08
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	-0.00	21	56%	0.22	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.06
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	9	71%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	13	41%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.13	0.02	14	47%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	7	37%	-0.06	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	3.0	28.7	18.8	28.2	2.7	36.0	142.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -4.9%

WAS +38.1%

WAS +3.5%

WAS +11.8%

WAS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	16.1	16.8	15.4	113.8	109.1	104.5
season	14.8	16.8		107.8	106.1
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.7	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.0	15.9	13.3	18.4	16.1
DET	16.5	16.8	18.0	15.9	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.44	3	0	3	16.3	14.5	1.78	16.9	15.7	1.26
Brendan Haywood	71	70	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	-2	7	16.1	16.2	-0.09	17.2	15.2	1.98
Gilbert Arenas	87	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	16.1	0.0	16.11	16.8	0.0	16.80
Caron Butler	80	81	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.43	1	2	-1	16.0	17.1	-1.12	16.8	16.6	0.24
Antonio Daniels	46	47	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	4	-5	16.3	16.0	0.31	16.3	17.4	-1.16
DeShawn Stevenson	41	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	-1	5	16.0	16.3	-0.31	17.4	16.3	1.16
Jarvis Hayes	15	17	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	-2	7	15.7	16.2	-0.46	15.1	17.2	-2.08
Etan Thomas	16	17	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	8	-13	16.2	16.1	0.09	16.1	17.0	-0.84

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	21	20	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-6	9	15.0	17.4	-2.42	17.1	15.8	1.28
Antonio McDyess	45	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-7	11	15.9	17.7	-1.86	17.0	15.3	1.67
Chris Webber	58	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-3	3	17.7	15.1	2.52	15.7	17.0	-1.28
Carlos Delfino	32	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-2	1	16.4	17.0	-0.61	17.1	15.5	1.60
Jason Maxiell	6	6	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-3	3	14.0	17.0	-3.00	21.7	15.7	5.96
Richard Hamilton	74	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-7	11	16.8	16.9	-0.16	16.3	15.0	1.33
Chauncey Billups	67	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	3	-9	17.4	15.0	2.42	15.8	17.1	-1.28
Rasheed Wallace	63	63	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.40	-8	5	-13	16.9	16.6	0.22	15.4	18.0	-2.66
Tayshaun Prince	74	74	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.35	-11	8	-19	17.0	15.5	1.54	15.5	19.7	-4.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.23,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 118, PHX 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.73,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.54,0.45,0.83,0	91.1%
DAL 104, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.1,0.42,0	90.8%
MIA 99, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.21,0.32,0.69,0	90.6%