NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	118		Excitement	10.3 [62]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +78.2%
Phoenix Suns	117		Comeback	5.7 [188]		LVP	Boris Diaw (PHX): -50.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.37	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.09,0.37	0.05	0.33	0.01	16	56%	0.42	2	-0.05	9	78%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.24	0.23	-0.00	-0.01	21	77%	0.30	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.04
Bonzi Wells	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.02	0.00	22	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.22,-0.22	-0.04	-0.18	-0.01	20	45%	-0.04	2	-0.17	2	50%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.43,0.78	0.78	0.16	0.62	-0.00	14	74%	0.82	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	7	79%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	8	69%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	69%	0.15	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0.17,0.17,0.17,-0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.09	0.02	10	70%	0.20	2	-0.25	3	67%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	9	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.15,-0.51	-0.51	-0.03	-0.47	0.00	11	42%	-0.36	1	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.6	29.1	14.7	22.0	2.5	40.0	133.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -57.3%

SAC +19.8%

SAC +51.3%

SAC +28.0%

SAC +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	13.5	15.6	118.0	118.2	104.4
season	15.3	13.8		104.7	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.5		105.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.0	14.9	13.2	17.0	15.4
PHX	13.6	13.9	12.5	14.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	84	83	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.41	13	-12	25	14.9	17.9	-2.96	13.7	12.6	1.10
Peja Stojakovic	91	88	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	-2	5	15.2	16.9	-1.65	13.5	13.7	-0.20
Bonzi Wells	86	87	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	2	-3	15.2	16.9	-1.71	13.1	16.7	-3.65
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	84	84	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	4	-7	15.4	15.6	-0.21	13.0	16.5	-3.44
Brad Miller	89	86	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.01	10	-9	19	14.9	19.3	-4.36	13.8	11.7	2.13
Kevin Martin	18	18	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	-1	3	17.2	15.0	2.23	15.3	13.1	2.19
Jason Hart	16	17	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.38	-12	13	-25	17.9	14.9	2.96	12.6	13.7	-1.08
Francisco Garcia	5	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	3	-5	15.6	15.4	0.22	15.2	13.5	1.74
Kenny Thomas	27	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	6	-11	17.1	14.8	2.31	14.3	13.3	1.03

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	29	29	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.09	9	-10	19	14.6	13.1	1.47	17.6	14.5	3.09
James Jones	59	60	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	0	-1	13.0	14.3	-1.35	15.7	14.9	0.78
Leandro Barbosa	48	49	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.47	13	-14	27	14.1	13.0	1.12	16.1	14.7	1.36
Boris Diaw	57	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.54	12	-13	25	14.1	12.8	1.36	15.6	15.1	0.47
Kurt Thomas	49	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	9	-19	12.8	14.3	-1.48	14.8	15.9	-1.10
Jim Jackson	28	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-1	1	14.2	13.3	0.98	14.4	15.8	-1.34
Raja Bell	54	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	11	-23	13.1	14.1	-1.04	14.8	16.1	-1.33
Eddie House	29	29	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-3	5	13.7	13.5	0.20	17.2	14.6	2.61
Steve Nash	66	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.29	-9	8	-17	13.4	13.8	-0.41	14.7	16.6	-1.91
Shawn Marion	76	76	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.38	-9	8	-17	13.4	14.0	-0.65	14.7	17.5	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.73,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.54,0.45,0.83,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 88, SAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.55,0.82,0	91.2%
WAS 99, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.23,0.73,0	91.1%
IND 78, MIA 75	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.43,0	90.4%