inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 78 Excitement9.2 [95] MVPDarren Collison (IND): +9.4%
Miami Heat 75 Comeback2.9 [137] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -29.8%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darren Collison0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.010.08-0.00460%0.111-0.022100%0.01
David West0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.030.010.020.001347%0.0300.00875%-0.02
Lou Amundson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Leandro Barbosa-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.02-0.031040%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Dahntay Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Roy Hibbert-0.080,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08-0.04-0.030.01644%-0.012-0.07667%-0.06
Paul George-0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15-0.03-0.14-0.021142%-0.061-0.0820%-0.18
Danny Granger-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.13-0.070.001437%-0.054-0.15250%-0.01
George Hill-0.270,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.27-0.02-0.240.01960%-0.085-0.19786%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.00283%0.051-0.042100%0.01
Ronny Turiaf0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00337%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01540%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.04-0.0050%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.06-0.0030%-0.073-0.1000%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.2-0.200.01-0.190.022249%-0.152-0.051362%-0.27
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22-0.22-0.10-0.110.001023%-0.181-0.04250%-0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,-0.07,-0.3-0.30-0.07-0.23-0.002244%-0.223-0.081080%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.63.031.218.731.42.644.1159.6
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +56.0%
IND +6.3%
IND +19.3%
MIA -33.4%
IND +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMIANBAINDMIANBA
this game16.915.515.688.683.3102.8
season15.715.5104.2105.6
opponent15.815.698.8101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND17.517.715.117.216.9
MIA13.215.020.114.215.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul George58620.83-0.331.160.2420-173716.018.7-2.7516.712.73.93
David West74760.60-0.100.710.349-61516.220.6-4.3416.112.13.92
George Hill64640.58-0.080.670.358-51316.119.0-2.8616.014.21.72
Danny Granger68690.51-0.010.520.2110-71716.817.4-0.6915.814.51.28
Roy Hibbert61630.460.040.430.1112-92116.917.0-0.1115.814.61.23
Darren Collison31310.060.44-0.380.30-811-1917.916.41.4714.515.9-1.38
Lou Amundson99-0.090.59-0.670.03-47-1119.716.63.0611.615.9-4.33
Dahntay Jones1515-0.110.61-0.720.07-69-1518.716.52.1914.115.7-1.67
Leandro Barbosa4647-0.170.67-0.840.36-1821-3918.115.62.4414.116.9-2.78
Tyler Hansbrough1414-0.180.68-0.870.05-811-1919.316.52.8111.816.1-4.35

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronny Turiaf24250.00-0.500.510.06-2-1-113.916.0-2.1017.016.90.06
Norris Cole3330-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-4514.516.0-1.5817.716.51.23
James Jones1819-0.06-0.440.37-0.215-81315.015.6-0.5717.016.90.10
Udonis Haslem2524-0.23-0.270.040.12-129-2116.015.20.8115.517.4-1.90
Mike Miller3130-0.24-0.260.02-0.18-2-1-116.514.91.5717.816.51.33
Shane Battier6059-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.5610-132315.315.7-0.4217.316.11.17
Mario Chalmers4343-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.24-1-2114.716.1-1.3616.317.5-1.21
Joel Anthony6662-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.290-3316.013.92.1017.116.40.76
Dwyane Wade7070-0.560.06-0.61-0.35-74-1115.714.61.1016.717.7-0.94
LeBron James8078-0.600.10-0.69-0.39-74-1115.713.81.8616.718.6-1.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.43,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 110, UTA 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.41,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.4,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.42,091.0%
BKN 91, CHA 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.42,090.5%
SAC 118, PHX 1170.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.73,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.54,0.45,0.83,090.4%