NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	91		Excitement	8.1 [235]		MVP	Brook Lopez (BKN): +60.0%
Charlotte Hornets	88		Comeback	2.9 [330]		LVP	Mo Williams (CHA): -16.5%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.60	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.6	0.14	0.48	0.02	26	63%	0.67	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.08
Alan Anderson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.13	0.00	10	65%	0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Deron Williams	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Joe Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	9	26%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Cory Jefferson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.14	0.01	19	57%	0.23	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	0.00	19	55%	0.19	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	45%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	13	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	8	17%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	10	35%	-0.04	4	-0.12	6	67%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	18.6	0.1	21.5	15.7	30.5	2.0	41.0	129.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +44.7%

BKN +8.6%

CHA -18.1%

BKN +12.5%

BKN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CHA	NBA	BKN	CHA	NBA
this game	14.7	14.5	15.1	91.9	89.8	104.2
season	15.3	15.6		102.9	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.3		102.6	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.0	13.0	15.4	15.6	14.7
CHA	14.3	15.8	15.2	12.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Anderson	51	51	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.42	18	-15	33	13.4	16.2	-2.75	14.9	14.0	0.90
Brook Lopez	83	81	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	-1	5	14.4	16.5	-2.09	14.4	14.9	-0.55
Deron Williams	63	63	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.29	3	0	3	15.2	14.0	1.13	13.8	15.7	-1.86
Jarrett Jack	51	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	5	-7	14.3	15.2	-0.89	14.2	14.8	-0.59
Joe Johnson	74	74	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	6	-9	15.2	13.4	1.80	13.7	17.0	-3.32
Mason Plumlee	41	40	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.15	0	3	-3	14.5	14.9	-0.44	15.9	13.5	2.38
Cory Jefferson	11	11	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	0	3	16.9	14.5	2.43	15.0	14.4	0.57
Bojan Bogdanovic	51	50	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	4	-5	14.6	14.9	-0.37	15.0	14.0	1.04
Thaddeus Young	47	48	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	4	-5	15.0	14.5	0.44	14.8	14.2	0.67
Markel Brown	23	22	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.01	-6	9	-15	16.7	14.2	2.48	14.4	14.5	-0.10

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	25	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-3	3	15.0	14.3	0.68	14.7	14.8	-0.11
Lance Stephenson	29	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-1	-1	14.7	14.4	0.33	15.0	14.7	0.35
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	76	78	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-5	7	14.6	14.1	0.51	15.0	13.8	1.25
Bismack Biyombo	27	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-2	1	14.9	14.3	0.60	15.3	14.6	0.71
Kemba Walker	66	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-4	5	14.1	15.2	-1.08	14.7	14.7	0.01
Mo Williams	63	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.43	2	-5	7	13.7	15.9	-2.17	15.0	14.3	0.68
Al Jefferson	71	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-1	-1	14.3	14.9	-0.60	14.6	15.3	-0.71
Marvin Williams	60	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	5	-13	14.7	14.2	0.54	13.5	16.8	-3.34
Gerald Henderson	73	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.37	-7	4	-11	14.9	13.2	1.68	15.2	13.2	1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, ATL 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.32,0.27,0	92.1%
MEM 109, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.38,0.12,0.33,0.15,0	92.0%
BOS 89, MIL 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.55,0.22,0.28,0	91.8%