NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	109		Excitement	8.4 [190]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (MEM): +21.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	2.9 [562]		LVP	Jordan Hill (LAL): -14.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22	0.09	0.12	0.00	7	71%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Beno Udrih	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.11	-0.00	8	80%	0.25	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Mike Conley	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,-0.01,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.12	0.04	0.09	0.01	13	56%	0.21	2	-0.10	8	75%	-0.02
Quincy Pondexter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.09	0.00	7	57%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jon Leuer	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	7	56%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Jarnell Stokes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	13	50%	0.01	5	-0.15	10	40%	-0.07

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.00	10	58%	0.19	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	-0.00	14	71%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	8	74%	0.19	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	64%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	14	52%	0.13	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.2,0.07	0.07	0.15	-0.06	0.03	9	77%	0.09	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.22
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	5	25%	-0.02	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	0.8	28.9	15.8	26.2	1.8	37.4	136.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +2.1%

MEM +13.3%

MEM +29.1%

MEM +2.5%

MEM +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.6	15.1	114.7	110.4	104.2
season	15.9	15.5		103.8	101.9
opponent	14.7	15.2		108.9	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.0	16.9	12.9	18.1	15.6
LAL	13.8	15.1	14.8	14.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	59	61	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	-5	13	15.3	16.0	-0.72	13.8	16.0	-2.23
Quincy Pondexter	50	52	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.37	1	2	-1	16.9	14.2	2.70	13.6	15.7	-2.11
Mike Conley	63	65	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	-1	5	16.1	14.5	1.67	14.4	14.9	-0.52
Marc Gasol	69	71	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	-2	7	15.0	17.0	-2.01	15.3	12.4	2.90
Courtney Lee	59	60	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	-2	7	15.0	16.5	-1.53	15.1	13.7	1.42
Kosta Koufos	38	37	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	-1	5	16.4	15.0	1.40	13.5	15.3	-1.74
Tony Allen	34	33	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	1	1	13.8	16.6	-2.78	15.3	14.2	1.14
Beno Udrih	32	31	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	4	-5	14.5	16.1	-1.67	14.9	14.4	0.52
Vince Carter	30	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	6	-9	16.2	15.3	0.86	14.9	14.4	0.49
Jon Leuer	30	30	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.22	-5	8	-13	16.0	15.4	0.57	16.0	14.0	2.01
Jarnell Stokes	12	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	6	-9	16.4	15.5	0.96	11.8	15.0	-3.25

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hill	41	40	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-7	11	15.4	13.9	1.49	15.0	16.0	-1.04
Ed Davis	54	53	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.38	14	-17	31	14.9	14.1	0.83	16.7	14.2	2.49
Ronnie Price	41	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.03	-5	2	-7	15.9	13.6	2.22	14.6	16.2	-1.59
Kobe Bryant	67	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.32	5	-8	13	14.9	13.9	0.98	15.5	15.8	-0.37
Wesley Johnson	52	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-4	5	15.4	13.6	1.75	15.4	15.8	-0.36
Robert Sacre	27	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.00	-9	6	-15	13.1	15.2	-2.05	16.0	15.4	0.58
Ryan Kelly	20	20	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	6	-15	15.5	14.3	1.22	13.6	16.1	-2.44
Wayne Ellington	29	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	5	-13	13.9	14.9	-0.98	15.8	15.5	0.37
Jeremy Lin	55	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-5	7	13.6	15.9	-2.22	16.2	14.6	1.59
Carlos Boozer	43	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	4	-11	13.9	15.2	-1.27	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Nick Young	51	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.35	-3	0	-3	13.7	15.6	-1.91	15.9	15.2	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.38,0.12,0.33,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 91, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.07,0.29,0.08,0	92.9%
BKN 91, CHA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.42,0	92.0%
BOS 107, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.07,0.14,0.16,0	92.0%