NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	107		Excitement	8.0 [258]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): +53.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	4.1 [705]		LVP	Sergio Rodriguez (PHI): -8.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.53	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.53	0.21	0.33	0.01	19	70%	0.58	2	-0.05	15	87%	0.05
Jae Crowder	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	8	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	16	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Amir Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	2	100%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Smart	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Al Horford	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.02	10	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.11	-0.00	12	75%	0.35	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.04
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.06	0.02	9	68%	0.18	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.02	7	72%	0.07	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	14	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Nik Stauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.09	-0.00	11	65%	0.06	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.7	31.5	15.7	29.4	1.8	40.0	143.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.1%

PHI -8.2%

BOS +0.2%

BOS +29.2%

PHI -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.5	15.9	14.8	111.5	112.8	107.7
season	14.7	14.5		110.1	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.9		107.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.4	14.4	16.9	11.6	14.5
PHI	15.9	15.0	16.6	16.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	70	69	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.60	7	-6	13	13.6	16.8	-3.22	15.3	17.5	-2.24
Marcus Smart	64	63	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.37	10	-9	19	14.5	14.4	0.08	15.8	16.0	-0.14
Isaiah Thomas	67	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	-3	7	14.3	14.8	-0.48	15.8	16.1	-0.28
Jonas Jerebko	33	32	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.32	-3	4	-7	13.9	14.8	-0.88	16.3	15.6	0.67
Amir Johnson	32	32	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	-2	5	14.1	14.7	-0.59	15.4	16.1	-0.66
Al Horford	68	66	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.45	-9	10	-19	14.2	15.2	-1.02	15.8	16.0	-0.18
Jaylen Brown	30	27	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	-1	3	15.1	14.2	0.88	17.6	15.2	2.36
Avery Bradley	64	63	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.32	-7	8	-15	14.5	14.4	0.03	16.0	15.5	0.48
Kelly Olynyk	20	20	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	-1	3	18.1	13.5	4.66	16.8	15.6	1.24
Gerald Green	6	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	0	1	11.3	14.7	-3.33	12.3	16.1	-3.78
Tyler Zeller	7	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	0	1	14.7	14.4	0.28	15.4	15.9	-0.54
Terry Rozier	19	17	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	7	-13	16.8	13.9	2.97	16.1	15.8	0.23

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	18	18	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-4	7	17.7	15.4	2.22	15.9	14.1	1.83
Gerald Henderson	64	65	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.33	10	-11	21	15.7	16.2	-0.53	13.8	15.9	-2.13
Richaun Holmes	19	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	2	-5	16.7	15.7	1.02	17.9	13.6	4.28
Sergio Rodriguez	63	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.31	6	-7	13	15.9	15.8	0.10	14.1	15.2	-1.06
TJ McConnell	30	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	3	-7	16.1	15.8	0.29	16.1	13.7	2.37
Hollis Thompson	31	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.20	-2	1	-3	15.3	16.1	-0.82	15.4	14.0	1.47
Ersan Ilyasova	60	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-2	3	15.1	17.3	-2.18	13.7	16.0	-2.32
Jahlil Okafor	66	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-1	1	15.8	16.1	-0.28	13.8	15.8	-1.95
Nik Stauskas	66	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.45	-4	3	-7	15.7	16.4	-0.69	14.3	14.9	-0.68
Dario Saric	53	53	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.27	-12	11	-23	16.6	14.9	1.68	14.4	14.5	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.07,0.14,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 101, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.01,0	93.0%
NJN 104, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.4,0.27,0.32,0.22,0.09,0.1,0	92.9%
NYK 113, NOH 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.69,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.04,0,0,0	92.5%