NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	8.3 [225]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): +18.8%
Chicago Bulls	89		Comeback	5.3 [127]		LVP	Michael Sweetney (CHI): -18.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,0.19	-0.01	0.19	-0.01	5	59%	0.32	3	-0.13	7	86%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	6	75%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Stephen Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.02	0.06	-0.02	20	55%	0.28	4	-0.18	13	85%	0.03
Austin Croshere	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	7	60%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Eddie Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.06	-0.02	7	25%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Danny Granger	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.02,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	9	38%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.04
David Harrison	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,-0.02,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.01	-0.00	10	58%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.01	0.01	-0.09	0.09	-0.00	13	37%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.07
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Randy Holcomb	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	55%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	13	43%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	14	29%	-0.13	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.5	29.4	15.6	25.0	1.8	36.0	139.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +75.7%

CHI -12.3%

CHI -1.8%

CHI -21.1%

IND +9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	16.6	14.8	15.6	98.9	96.7	104.4
season	16.0	14.4		102.3	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.5		102.1	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.2	15.2	15.6	18.3	16.6
CHI	10.9	16.1	15.0	17.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sarunas Jasikevicius	43	45	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	-5	12	16.8	16.3	0.49	15.2	14.3	0.84
Stephen Jackson	75	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.47	-1	3	-4	17.0	14.6	2.41	14.8	14.7	0.05
Fred Jones	51	52	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.38	0	2	-2	16.6	16.4	0.21	15.0	14.4	0.58
Anthony Johnson	61	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	3	-4	16.3	17.1	-0.77	14.5	15.1	-0.57
David Harrison	40	39	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	-5	12	17.7	15.7	2.03	15.8	14.0	1.86
Danny Granger	71	70	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	0	2	16.6	16.3	0.35	15.4	12.6	2.78
Austin Croshere	50	48	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	-1	4	15.3	18.0	-2.75	14.4	15.1	-0.70
Jeff Foster	39	42	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.23	-3	5	-8	16.0	17.0	-0.96	13.8	15.6	-1.77
Jermaine O'Neal	30	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	6	-10	16.5	16.6	-0.03	12.9	15.6	-2.66

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	16	15	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-6	10	16.2	14.4	1.74	15.5	16.8	-1.22
Randy Holcomb	2	2	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-4	6	24.5	14.5	9.97	10.5	16.7	-6.19
Tyson Chandler	8	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	5	-12	13.5	14.9	-1.37	13.4	16.9	-3.45
Othella Harrington	18	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	5	-12	15.1	14.7	0.38	18.9	15.9	2.95
Darius Songaila	54	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	0	-2	14.2	15.5	-1.23	15.9	17.4	-1.44
Ben Gordon	51	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-6	10	13.3	16.6	-3.35	16.5	16.6	-0.02
Luol Deng	53	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-6	10	14.6	14.9	-0.26	17.2	15.7	1.42
Michael Sweetney	56	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.28	-3	1	-4	14.5	15.1	-0.59	17.4	15.2	2.14
Andres Nocioni	57	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-1	0	14.8	14.6	0.24	15.9	17.6	-1.69
Kirk Hinrich	84	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-3	4	14.9	13.4	1.51	17.0	12.1	4.93
Chris Duhon	61	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.37	-5	3	-8	15.9	12.5	3.32	15.9	17.7	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.07,0.29,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 109, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.38,0.12,0.33,0.15,0	92.9%
BOS 107, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.07,0.14,0.16,0	92.2%
IND 89, NOH 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.33,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.01,0	91.7%