NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	89		Excitement	6.9 [429]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +17.3%
New Orleans Hornets	86		Comeback	5.5 [114]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -27.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.17	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	10	81%	0.18	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Brad Miller	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	13	65%	0.15	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	8	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Jeff Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.01	15	45%	0.05	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.02	10	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.28	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.21	-0.09	-0.02	11	18%	-0.13	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	12	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	71%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.14,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	23	47%	-0.03	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	12	46%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24	-0.24	-0.07	-0.16	0.00	2	0%	-0.10	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	25.4	15.5	25.3	1.7	35.1	128.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.9%

IND +14.5%

NOH -3.4%

IND +14.8%

NOH -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NOH	NBA	IND	NOH	NBA
this game	14.2	16.1	15.5	93.7	90.5	101.6
season	15.4	15.9		102.2	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.5		99.6	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	13.7	12.8	16.5	14.2
NOH	12.8	16.9	20.0	15.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	76	75	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	-5	13	13.4	17.4	-3.97	15.8	17.5	-1.74
Jamaal Tinsley	76	76	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-5	13	13.1	18.6	-5.55	15.7	17.7	-1.95
Metta World Peace	68	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	0	3	14.1	14.5	-0.46	16.3	15.6	0.70
Reggie Miller	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	-1	5	12.9	16.9	-4.08	16.2	15.9	0.38
Jermaine O'Neal	68	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.48	-5	8	-13	13.5	16.0	-2.58	16.1	16.2	-0.17
Al Harrington	40	39	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.18	-1	4	-5	16.7	12.3	4.42	16.0	16.2	-0.21
Austin Croshere	31	32	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	-1	5	17.0	12.8	4.12	16.0	16.2	-0.14
Ron Mercer	28	28	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	3	-3	16.0	13.4	2.62	16.1	16.1	-0.08
Jeff Foster	11	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.04	-1	4	-5	15.3	14.0	1.23	18.4	15.8	2.62
Erick Strickland	13	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	8	-13	17.0	13.7	3.26	17.8	15.9	1.90

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	22	22	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.07	9	-12	21	13.4	17.0	-3.60	13.9	14.3	-0.36
George Lynch	21	21	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-8	13	16.3	16.1	0.27	15.8	13.7	2.08
Elden Campbell	32	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-7	11	18.3	15.0	3.30	14.4	14.1	0.35
Bryce Drew	29	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-2	1	18.1	15.3	2.80	15.1	13.8	1.38
Courtney Alexander	45	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	2	-7	16.5	15.8	0.65	12.5	15.7	-3.23
Stacey Augmon	24	22	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-2	1	16.2	16.1	0.05	18.2	13.0	5.25
P.J. Brown	71	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	-1	-1	16.0	16.4	-0.39	14.2	14.2	-0.05
Jamaal Magloire	68	66	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.25	-11	8	-19	15.5	17.8	-2.36	13.9	14.8	-0.82
Jamal Mashburn	83	82	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	4	-11	15.9	17.8	-1.95	13.8	16.7	-2.90
David Wesley	80	80	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.44	-6	3	-9	16.0	17.0	-1.04	13.9	15.9	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.33,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 128, HOU 118	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.06,0,0	92.4%
NJN 101, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.01,0	92.1%
PHX 97, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	92.1%