NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	97		Excitement	5.4 [734]		MVP	Steve Kerr (POR): +12.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	83		Comeback	6.7 [112]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -18.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.02	13	69%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.08	0.00	17	61%	0.14	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.06	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
John Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	19	50%	0.08	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Rodney Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	15	44%	-0.07	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	8	89%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	13	52%	0.11	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	10	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	14	50%	0.03	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	12	43%	-0.08	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	15	47%	-0.03	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.4	22.7	15.6	22.1	1.7	25.3	111.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +36.4%

PHX +9.3%

POR -30.0%

PHX +33.6%

PHX +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	13.7	18.3	15.6	107.8	92.2	102.3
season	15.1	16.0		101.0	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.7	12.0	11.6	14.7	13.7
POR	14.0	18.8	22.1	18.7	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	46	46	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	2	10	13.3	14.2	-0.97	17.4	19.2	-1.79
Bo Outlaw	50	50	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	4	6	13.5	14.0	-0.43	17.3	19.5	-2.26
Stephon Marbury	66	68	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	8	-2	15.0	10.2	4.75	17.6	20.2	-2.59
Tom Gugliotta	61	62	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	9	-4	13.9	13.3	0.62	18.9	16.9	1.94
Dan Majerle	30	29	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	6	2	12.4	14.4	-2.00	18.0	18.4	-0.39
Anfernee Hardaway	79	79	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	3	8	13.5	15.7	-2.27	18.6	15.6	3.00
Shawn Marion	68	68	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	7	0	14.2	12.3	1.87	18.0	19.1	-1.15
Jake Tsakalidis	35	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	16	-18	14.6	13.2	1.46	18.8	17.9	0.92
Jake Voskuhl	5	5	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.09	5	9	-4	9.4	14.0	-4.59	24.4	17.9	6.49
John Wallace	5	4	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	10	-6	9.4	14.0	-4.59	23.7	18.0	5.74
Alton Ford	5	4	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	10	-6	9.4	14.0	-4.59	23.7	18.0	5.74

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	20	19	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-18	22	17.8	18.4	-0.60	12.2	14.2	-2.00
Rick Brunson	19	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-12	10	17.1	18.6	-1.54	12.1	14.2	-2.06
Chris Dudley	11	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-9	4	16.2	18.6	-2.38	11.3	14.1	-2.77
Dale Davis	67	67	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-11	8	18.1	18.8	-0.75	14.6	11.1	3.50
Scottie Pippen	26	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-14	14	19.7	17.7	2.06	11.8	14.6	-2.79
Steve Kerr	42	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-2	-10	18.1	18.4	-0.23	13.3	14.1	-0.87
Ruben Patterson	65	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-4	-6	18.4	18.0	0.42	13.7	13.9	-0.27
Bonzi Wells	59	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-2	-10	18.2	18.4	-0.23	14.5	12.3	2.21
Damon Stoudamire	71	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-2	-10	18.6	17.1	1.54	14.2	12.1	2.06
Rasheed Wallace	70	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.03	-18	4	-22	18.4	17.8	0.60	14.2	12.2	2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 121, HOU 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0	92.9%
UTA 90, DET 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.09,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	92.5%
CLE 108, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.1%