NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	90		Excitement	5.4 [716]		MVP	Randy Foye (UTA): +17.3%
Detroit Pistons	87		Comeback	6.4 [148]		LVP	Greg Monroe (DET): -11.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17	0.05	0.10	-0.03	9	85%	0.25	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	18	56%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.00	7	86%	0.16	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	5	50%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	13	53%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	25%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	8	32%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.05	0.07	6	93%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	16	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	5	64%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.08
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	56%	0.06	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	5	31%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.06
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	9	67%	0.03	7	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.8	30.0	16.0	24.2	1.6	36.1	131.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +23.7%

UTA +13.5%

UTA +3.1%

UTA +5.5%

UTA +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DET	NBA	UTA	DET	NBA
this game	17.6	16.1	15.4	107.1	100.0	104.1
season	16.0	15.7		104.6	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		106.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	21.4	16.7	15.7	17.0	17.6
DET	16.5	14.0	20.0	14.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	62	64	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.35	15	-12	27	17.0	19.4	-2.44	15.9	16.6	-0.69
Paul Millsap	60	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	-2	7	17.0	19.0	-2.01	15.5	17.5	-1.94
Al Jefferson	61	64	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.31	1	2	-1	17.4	18.3	-0.90	17.1	13.4	3.69
Alec Burks	46	46	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	-3	9	17.7	17.5	0.20	15.5	16.8	-1.23
Derrick Favors	33	34	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	1	1	18.8	16.8	1.94	16.1	16.1	0.07
Earl Watson	44	47	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.24	0	3	-3	17.1	18.1	-0.99	16.3	15.8	0.47
Gordon Hayward	53	55	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.35	-5	8	-13	17.5	17.8	-0.32	14.6	18.7	-4.19
DeMarre Carroll	37	39	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	3	-3	18.2	17.1	1.04	19.2	13.6	5.67
Enes Kanter	14	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	5	-7	18.4	17.5	0.90	14.2	16.5	-2.30
Jamaal Tinsley	10	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	10	-17	21.7	17.1	4.65	15.2	16.2	-1.02

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	50	49	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.24	10	-13	23	14.5	18.2	-3.68	16.9	18.6	-1.65
Kyle Singler	36	34	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-5	7	16.9	15.5	1.43	17.6	17.6	-0.03
Greg Monroe	61	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-3	3	15.6	17.4	-1.83	17.2	18.4	-1.12
Tayshaun Prince	63	60	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.28	1	-4	5	15.6	17.5	-1.99	16.8	19.5	-2.65
Austin Daye	24	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	1	-5	17.5	15.6	1.99	19.5	16.8	2.65
Rodney Stuckey	37	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	4	-11	18.0	14.7	3.25	18.2	17.2	1.03
Andre Drummond	35	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.20	-5	2	-7	18.1	14.8	3.32	18.4	17.1	1.30
Will Bynum	34	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-3	3	14.6	17.1	-2.54	18.2	17.2	1.07
Brandon Knight	67	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-2	1	15.4	18.4	-3.05	16.9	19.6	-2.68
Charlie Villanueva	28	28	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	8	-19	17.6	15.4	2.22	18.6	17.1	1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.09,0.01,0,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 97, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%
CLE 108, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.4%
POR 100, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.08,0	92.0%