inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 100 Excitement7.7 [363] MVPCJ McCollum (POR): +44.2%
Denver Nuggets 96 Comeback5.6 [116] LVPPaul Millsap (DEN): -12.0%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
CJ McCollum0.440,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.34,0.440.190.280.032962%0.4400.002100%0.02
Evan Turner0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.20.080.120.00761%0.2000.00989%0.04
Zach Collins0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.000.07-0.01650%0.091-0.022100%0.02
Maurice Harkless0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.030.00555%0.0600.0010%-0.02
Rodney Hood0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.01-0.01643%0.0200.002100%0.01
Meyers Leonard-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Enes Kanter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.001346%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01430%-0.041-0.01250%-0.00
Seth Curry-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.0020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Damian Lillard-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07-0.100.03-0.001732%-0.051-0.02683%0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Harris0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.030.011162%0.121-0.02250%-0.02
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.03-0.01944%0.0400.0000%0.00
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.00553%0.061-0.02580%0.02
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.010.00345%0.0000.00560%-0.02
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00336%-0.0100.00540%-0.04
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.01,-0.03-0.030.02-0.040.012649%0.052-0.08771%-0.04
Jamal Murray0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06-0.06-0.060.000.011838%-0.051-0.029100%0.05
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.05-0.011331%-0.1200.00667%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.43.331.715.329.43.443.3152.8
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +58.8%
DEN -3.5%
DEN -10.8%
POR +4.9%
POR +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORDENNBAPORDENNBA
this game15.015.514.3105.3102.1109.3
season14.914.8112.6112.0
opponent14.613.9108.1109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR15.314.513.916.015.0
DEN14.014.918.914.615.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damian Lillard90880.58-0.080.670.358-41214.915.6-0.6815.713.22.52
CJ McCollum88880.55-0.050.600.376-2815.113.71.3415.811.24.65
Seth Curry33310.490.010.480.287-31015.414.70.7115.215.7-0.54
Evan Turner39380.420.080.340.3913-215.214.80.4615.415.6-0.26
Enes Kanter80800.310.190.120.2522014.517.5-3.0615.217.4-2.16
Zach Collins44440.250.25-0.010.105-1615.014.90.0816.514.71.75
Meyers Leonard14120.240.26-0.030.008-41214.815.0-0.2014.915.6-0.69
Maurice Harkless3534-0.050.55-0.590.16-711-1815.014.90.0715.115.8-0.68
Rodney Hood3941-0.080.58-0.65-0.02-26-814.415.4-0.9715.215.8-0.62
Al-Farouq Aminu1414-0.140.64-0.790.06-711-1816.114.81.3915.415.5-0.19

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Beasley1315-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-3217.215.31.8914.715.0-0.35
Torrey Craig6766-0.15-0.350.19-0.336-101615.116.6-1.5614.715.6-0.95
Monte Morris2020-0.18-0.320.15-0.12-2-2016.915.11.8114.215.1-0.90
Mason Plumlee3739-0.21-0.290.09-0.03-62-814.516.2-1.6614.815.1-0.32
Paul Millsap6162-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.343-71016.414.02.3915.214.50.68
Jamal Murray7475-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.26-2-2015.116.9-1.8115.114.20.90
Nikola Jokic8383-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.34-51-615.416.4-0.9515.014.70.33
Will Barton3940-0.520.02-0.54-0.26-95-1414.816.0-1.2015.114.80.33
Gary Harris7776-0.520.02-0.55-0.32-73-1015.714.51.2114.915.3-0.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 104, LAC 980.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.75,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.27,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.04,0,0.01,093.1%
CLE 108, BOS 880.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,093.1%
POR 109, MIN 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.16,093.0%