NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	104		Excitement	6.1 [599]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +28.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	5.0 [129]		LVP	Matt Barnes (LAC): -14.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.17	0.12	-0.00	23	70%	0.42	5	-0.13	10	100%	0.04
Nick Collison	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	1	100%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	7	67%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Reggie Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	64%	0.09	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.16,-0.13,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06	-0.10	0.02	-0.02	15	45%	0.08	5	-0.14	12	92%	0.04

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	20	46%	0.05	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	3	12%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	8	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	17	47%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.07	-0.05	0.10	18	61%	0.05	3	-0.12	5	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	14	30%	-0.13	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.8	36.3	17.8	28.5	3.0	40.2	156.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +49.5%

OKC +24.5%

LAC -16.9%

LAC -7.5%

OKC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	14.6	15.5	15.1	108.3	103.2	105.2
season	14.4	14.3		107.8	111.0
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.3	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.4	14.8	15.0	13.5	14.6
LAC	14.0	17.9	18.4	12.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	77	76	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.21	18	-12	30	15.1	12.7	2.34	15.9	14.3	1.61
Nick Collison	35	34	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-10	26	14.4	14.8	-0.38	14.8	16.0	-1.22
Russell Westbrook	79	79	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.30	12	-6	18	14.1	16.9	-2.83	15.5	15.9	-0.39
Kevin Durant	89	89	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	-1	8	14.4	17.0	-2.57	15.3	19.2	-3.86
Reggie Jackson	64	63	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	0	6	13.9	16.0	-2.08	14.9	16.8	-1.91
Derek Fisher	33	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	10	-14	14.7	14.6	0.08	14.1	16.3	-2.19
Caron Butler	14	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	8	-10	15.2	14.5	0.70	17.7	15.2	2.52
Serge Ibaka	47	47	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	10	-14	15.7	13.6	2.17	17.2	13.9	3.25
Thabo Sefolosha	27	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.12	-9	15	-24	14.7	14.6	0.12	15.9	15.4	0.52
Kendrick Perkins	15	16	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.08	-10	16	-26	15.2	14.5	0.69	15.7	15.5	0.24

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	10	11	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-4	2	18.9	15.2	3.75	14.5	14.6	-0.08
JJ Redick	58	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-4	2	15.2	16.1	-0.96	14.4	14.9	-0.54
DeAndre Jordan	72	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-4	2	16.0	14.3	1.70	15.0	13.3	1.72
Darren Collison	38	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-4	2	15.0	15.9	-0.87	13.5	15.4	-1.90
Blake Griffin	77	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	0	-6	16.0	13.6	2.46	15.0	12.9	2.10
Matt Barnes	84	86	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-7	8	15.4	17.0	-1.64	14.6	14.4	0.24
Chris Paul	81	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-2	-2	15.5	15.9	-0.36	14.4	15.7	-1.29
Jamal Crawford	30	30	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-2	-2	14.3	16.1	-1.77	14.7	14.6	0.12
Glen Davis	25	23	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	3	-12	15.5	15.6	-0.04	15.0	14.5	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.75,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.27,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.04,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 108, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.1%
POR 100, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.08,0	93.1%
PHX 110, SAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	92.7%