NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	128		Excitement	7.6 [352]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAC): +33.4%
Houston Rockets	118		Comeback	6.7 [34]		LVP	Tarik Black (HOU): -7.1%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.33	0.18	0.18	0.03	21	67%	0.35	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Austin Rivers	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.29,0.29	0.09	0.21	0.02	25	59%	0.41	4	-0.12	11	73%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	7	75%	0.17	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
C.J. Williams	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.10	-0.01	9	50%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamil Wilson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	75%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jawun Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	13	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Willie Reed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sindarius Thornwell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.22	0.11	0.02	28	71%	0.52	8	-0.22	16	94%	0.10
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	0.00	20	61%	0.26	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	7	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	57%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Briante Weber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	3	62%	0.02	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.8	31.8	14.5	32.6	2.0	36.0	147.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +30.6%

HOU -9.8%

HOU -5.4%

LAC +29.3%

LAC +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.9	13.9	14.7	128.0	118.0	107.5
season	14.2	14.6		109.2	112.8
opponent	14.8	14.6		105.6	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.5	13.5	13.7	17.0	14.9
HOU	12.2	14.2	15.7	13.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jawun Evans	56	57	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.02	20	-10	30	13.7	16.4	-2.69	14.5	13.1	1.41
Lou Williams	80	79	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.12	13	-3	16	15.0	14.3	0.66	14.0	13.6	0.38
Austin Rivers	80	81	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	2	6	15.1	13.8	1.29	14.1	13.3	0.81
C.J. Williams	65	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	4	2	15.9	12.9	3.02	12.7	16.0	-3.26
Sam Dekker	57	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	1	8	14.9	14.9	-0.01	14.8	12.7	2.10
Montrezl Harrell	26	25	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.31	-1	11	-12	17.0	14.1	2.86	12.8	14.3	-1.44
DeAndre Jordan	71	71	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	5	0	14.5	15.9	-1.48	13.8	14.2	-0.45
Willie Reed	16	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	9	-8	14.4	15.0	-0.53	13.9	13.9	0.03
Sindarius Thornwell	1	1	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	13	-16	0.0	15.0	-15.03	9.0	14.0	-4.97
Jamil Wilson	48	49	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.16	-8	18	-26	14.1	15.6	-1.45	14.2	13.7	0.48

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	38	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-9	8	14.0	13.9	0.09	13.2	15.8	-2.55
Tarik Black	31	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-9	8	14.6	13.6	1.05	15.3	14.7	0.68
Briante Weber	33	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-10	10	13.8	14.0	-0.15	16.2	14.2	1.96
PJ Tucker	64	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-8	6	13.8	14.1	-0.26	15.7	13.4	2.23
Trevor Ariza	89	90	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-7	4	13.7	15.7	-2.03	15.1	12.8	2.31
James Harden	86	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	0	-10	14.0	13.3	0.74	14.7	15.9	-1.16
Ryan Anderson	74	73	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.13	-17	7	-24	14.0	13.8	0.20	14.6	15.7	-1.13
Eric Gordon	85	85	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.20	-16	6	-22	13.8	14.5	-0.64	14.5	17.2	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, NOH 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.33,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.01,0	92.4%
POR 100, DAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.1,0.03,0,0.01,0	92.4%
NOP 121, HOU 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0	92.4%