NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	100		Excitement	6.8 [434]		MVP	Raef LaFrentz (DAL): +28.4%
Dallas Mavericks	93		Comeback	5.6 [49]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -14.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.09	-0.02	9	74%	0.22	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.01	12	57%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Scottie Pippen	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	70%	0.17	4	-0.13	7	71%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.02	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.03	-0.03	16	47%	0.03	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Dale Davis	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	10	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	15	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.12	-0.02	11	79%	0.28	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	18	59%	0.06	4	-0.10	10	80%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	8	68%	0.03	4	-0.12	3	33%	-0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	14	45%	-0.03	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.04
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	15	41%	-0.08	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.7	34.0	18.8	27.0	3.5	41.6	154.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -4.6%

POR +11.3%

POR +35.6%

POR +2.2%

POR +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	15.5	109.9	102.2	101.6
season	16.0	15.1		104.3	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.7		102.0	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.9	14.2	15.6	15.7	15.9
DAL	14.0	14.6	22.3	13.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	51	52	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.30	9	-2	11	16.4	15.2	1.17	16.2	15.2	1.07
Derek Anderson	61	60	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	0	7	15.8	16.1	-0.31	15.8	15.7	0.12
Bonzi Wells	73	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.32	5	2	3	15.8	16.1	-0.25	16.1	14.7	1.40
Scottie Pippen	69	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	5	-3	15.7	16.3	-0.61	16.0	15.3	0.62
Zach Randolph	55	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	2	3	15.7	16.2	-0.51	15.0	17.1	-2.16
Jeff McInnis	31	32	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	-2	11	14.4	16.6	-2.28	14.2	16.6	-2.43
Dale Davis	55	54	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	8	-9	16.8	14.5	2.29	17.2	13.7	3.52
Arvydas Sabonis	18	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.11	5	2	3	14.7	16.2	-1.48	15.8	15.8	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	28	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	8	-9	15.3	16.1	-0.77	14.2	16.6	-2.37
Antonio Daniels	14	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	12	-17	18.6	15.4	3.21	16.3	15.7	0.60

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	13	12	0.26	-0.76	1.01	-0.01	9	-16	25	13.3	16.2	-2.90	13.3	16.2	-2.91
Raja Bell	33	34	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.05	7	-14	21	16.5	15.4	1.04	18.3	14.4	3.89
Adrian Griffin	13	10	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	5	-17	16.9	15.6	1.32	14.9	16.0	-1.08
Shawn Bradley	42	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-3	-1	17.5	14.3	3.13	16.4	15.4	0.98
Raef LaFrentz	63	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-3	-1	14.8	18.0	-3.19	15.3	17.1	-1.86
Nick Van Exel	65	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	15.1	17.5	-2.39	15.5	16.8	-1.28
Steve Nash	76	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	5	-17	15.7	16.1	-0.33	15.1	19.4	-4.27
Michael Finley	78	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.32	-8	1	-9	15.5	17.3	-1.77	16.3	13.2	3.10
Dirk Nowitzki	72	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.39	-6	-1	-5	16.6	12.9	3.66	16.1	14.8	1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.1,0.03,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 121, HOU 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.3%
LAL 102, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.31,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0	92.9%
LAC 128, HOU 118	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.06,0,0	92.4%