NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	9.1 [129]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +28.0%
Atlanta Hawks	85		Comeback	2.9 [438]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -30.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.28	0.05	0.25	0.02	17	61%	0.34	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	10	73%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mikki Moore	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	11	63%	0.13	2	-0.08	8	62%	-0.05
Bostjan Nachbar	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Antoine Wright	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Josh Boone	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	1	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Clifford Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	8	25%	-0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.06,0,0.14,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.02	0.19	-0.01	13	49%	0.27	1	-0.04	13	100%	0.16
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	13	61%	0.15	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	5	55%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	10	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jeremy Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.26	-0.26	-0.01	-0.24	0.00	3	50%	-0.20	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.29,-0.29,-0.4,-0.3	-0.30	-0.21	-0.10	-0.01	16	29%	-0.17	5	-0.13	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.7	30.3	15.7	23.2	2.6	40.7	141.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +98.8%

ATL -54.0%

NJN +8.1%

ATL -3.6%

NJN +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	16.4	17.3	15.4	102.4	98.8	104.5
season	15.4	16.1		103.1	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.7		106.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.6	12.8	20.2	16.5	16.4
ATL	18.5	18.5	17.7	14.8	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	54	54	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.78	-2	4	-6	17.8	13.8	3.96	16.7	18.4	-1.72
Vince Carter	70	73	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-7	16	16.4	16.1	0.27	17.0	19.0	-1.97
Eddie House	49	49	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.38	8	-6	14	15.9	17.0	-1.17	16.0	19.0	-2.99
Jason Kidd	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	-1	4	16.0	17.3	-1.24	18.1	15.2	2.88
Marcus Williams	36	38	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.35	1	1	0	15.6	16.9	-1.29	16.4	18.1	-1.71
Jason Collins	43	41	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.04	11	-9	20	15.4	17.3	-1.94	19.6	15.2	4.37
Josh Boone	7	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	3	-4	16.1	16.4	-0.23	21.5	16.9	4.60
Antoine Wright	53	52	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	9	-16	16.6	15.9	0.67	17.7	16.7	0.98
Clifford Robinson	22	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	9	-16	17.0	16.1	0.87	16.6	17.6	-0.99
Bostjan Nachbar	29	30	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.12	-5	7	-12	16.6	16.2	0.30	16.5	17.7	-1.22

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	47	46	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.11	9	-11	20	16.4	18.4	-1.94	17.1	15.4	1.69
Slava Medvedenko	7	6	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-6	10	21.3	17.0	4.31	15.7	16.4	-0.74
Josh Smith	42	46	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.12	5	-7	12	18.4	16.3	2.02	16.0	16.8	-0.82
Lorenzen Wright	24	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	0	-2	20.6	16.1	4.52	17.3	16.0	1.30
Royal Ivey	1	1	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	0	-2	1.0	17.5	-16.52	4.0	16.5	-12.50
Zaza Pachulia	52	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-3	1	-4	17.4	17.1	0.30	16.3	16.5	-0.20
Jeremy Richardson	16	15	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-2	2	12.9	18.3	-5.47	16.7	16.3	0.38
Tyronn Lue	26	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.25	-3	1	-4	18.8	16.7	2.12	16.1	16.5	-0.35
Josh Childress	65	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.49	0	-2	2	16.5	20.0	-3.48	16.1	17.3	-1.24
Joe Johnson	79	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.46	-3	1	-4	17.3	18.0	-0.73	16.4	16.1	0.23
Marvin Williams	71	67	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.27	-15	13	-28	17.3	17.7	-0.41	16.3	16.4	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, OKC 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.4,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.17,0	92.6%
BKN 91, CHA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.42,0	92.1%
NOH 108, GSW 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.37,0.55,0.42,0	92.1%