NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	108		Excitement	9.9 [71]		MVP	Corey Maggette (GSW): +55.3%
Golden State Warriors	103		Comeback	3.4 [615]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): -51.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	4	70%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	8	55%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Paul	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	17	55%	0.12	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.07
Mike James	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	17	59%	0.14	4	-0.14	7	86%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,0	0.06	-0.04	0.01	11	62%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.03
Morris Peterson	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	9	54%	0.01	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.10
Hilton Armstrong	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.55	0.55	0.19	0.38	0.02	11	84%	0.60	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.14
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	14	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	8	54%	0.02	1	0.00	10	40%	-0.16
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.2,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.17	-0.00	17	36%	-0.21	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.05
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.51	-0.51	-0.03	-0.49	-0.00	23	52%	-0.15	5	-0.37	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.8	35.2	1.8	27.2	2.0	41.1	134.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +48.7%

GSW -18.7%

GSW -4.6%

NOH +24.4%

NOH +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	GSW	NBA	NOH	GSW	NBA
this game	15.8	12.8	15.5	106.9	103.0	106.4
season	16.6	13.8		105.9	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.6		111.2	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	18.0	13.9	18.0	13.9	15.8
GSW	10.8	13.8	13.3	13.3	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	85	83	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-11	27	15.4	18.2	-2.80	13.0	11.9	1.05
David West	88	87	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-6	17	16.1	13.8	2.37	12.6	14.2	-1.63
Peja Stojakovic	73	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-8	21	15.9	15.6	0.26	12.6	13.3	-0.67
Morris Peterson	42	41	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	-7	19	16.8	15.1	1.71	12.3	13.1	-0.79
Tyson Chandler	76	78	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.29	1	4	-3	16.4	14.0	2.49	12.5	13.8	-1.29
James Posey	61	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	8	-11	14.6	17.7	-3.09	13.1	12.4	0.67
Hilton Armstrong	18	17	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	5	-5	17.2	15.5	1.69	15.2	12.3	2.85
Rasual Butler	30	27	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	11	-17	14.6	16.4	-1.75	13.1	12.7	0.41
Devin Brown	15	16	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.01	-6	11	-17	14.5	16.1	-1.52	13.6	12.7	0.97
Mike James	17	18	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.07	-13	18	-31	17.2	15.6	1.62	11.7	13.0	-1.33

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	58	57	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.16	2	-7	9	12.8	12.8	0.08	17.6	13.5	4.09
CJ Watson	5	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-1	-3	9.2	13.0	-3.80	5.6	16.6	-11.02
Corey Maggette	80	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.40	3	-8	11	12.7	13.1	-0.42	16.3	14.0	2.22
Al Harrington	89	89	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-4	3	12.7	13.9	-1.23	15.7	16.8	-1.14
Kelenna Azubuike	90	91	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.44	1	-6	7	12.7	14.2	-1.54	15.8	16.0	-0.19
DeMarcus Nelson	30	31	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.12	-12	7	-19	12.7	12.9	-0.16	13.4	16.9	-3.53
Stephen Jackson	100	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	12.8	0.0	12.81	15.8	0.0	15.83
Ronny Turiaf	48	48	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.28	-9	4	-13	13.9	11.8	2.09	16.3	15.4	0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.37,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 91, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.37,0.32,0.42,0	92.2%
NJN 87, ATL 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.32,0.27,0	92.1%
DAL 87, NJN 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.27,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.2,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.67,0.73,0	91.5%