NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	87		Excitement	8.8 [142]		MVP	Jose Juan Barea (DAL): +19.8%
New Jersey Nets	86		Comeback	5.9 [261]		LVP	Jordan Farmar (NJN): -34.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2	-0.01	0.18	-0.03	6	67%	0.24	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	0	100%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Tyson Chandler	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	11	68%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.07
Brendan Haywood	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	1	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.15,-0.27,-0.06	-0.09	0.03	-0.00	24	41%	0.13	3	-0.18	8	87%	0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	14	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	4	73%	0.12	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.02	15	67%	0.30	6	-0.24	6	67%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.07	-0.02	12	37%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.12	0.03	12	47%	-0.12	2	-0.06	8	87%	-0.03
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.35	-0.35	-0.08	-0.31	-0.04	8	37%	-0.26	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.7	32.2	16.3	27.6	2.4	39.3	143.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +18.7%

DAL +13.7%

DAL +5.6%

DAL +8.3%

DAL +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NJN	NBA	DAL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	16.1	15.5	96.7	93.5	105.7
season	15.7	16.4		108.5	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.7		108.5	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.3	14.1	15.6	18.5	15.5
NJN	15.0	17.2	14.4	18.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	58	61	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	-4	9	15.7	15.2	0.50	16.9	14.7	2.14
DeShawn Stevenson	46	46	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.52	0	1	-1	14.6	16.5	-1.89	15.5	16.8	-1.30
Shawn Marion	46	48	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.50	0	1	-1	15.6	15.4	0.16	16.3	16.0	0.34
Tyson Chandler	57	57	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.36	-1	2	-3	15.4	15.7	-0.34	16.2	16.0	0.16
Jason Kidd	66	68	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	2	-3	15.0	16.8	-1.75	15.8	17.1	-1.35
Ian Mahinmi	23	25	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	-3	7	14.9	15.7	-0.80	17.2	15.7	1.47
Dirk Nowitzki	68	68	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	-2	5	15.9	14.3	1.64	16.4	15.5	0.91
Jose Juan Barea	38	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	0	1	16.9	14.5	2.35	16.9	15.5	1.42
Brendan Haywood	10	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	3	-5	17.6	15.2	2.35	13.1	16.5	-3.40
Sasha Pavlovic	38	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	5	-9	15.0	15.9	-0.88	14.9	17.0	-2.06

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	57	55	0.30	-0.80	1.09	-0.11	14	-15	29	15.9	16.4	-0.48	15.9	15.0	0.88
Johan Petro	31	31	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-4	7	14.9	16.7	-1.80	15.7	15.4	0.25
Derrick Favors	27	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	1	-3	16.4	16.0	0.39	15.9	15.3	0.52
Anthony Morrow	24	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	3	-7	15.6	16.3	-0.74	16.4	15.2	1.13
Kris Humphries	66	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.20	-1	0	-1	16.0	16.5	-0.46	15.2	16.1	-0.87
Brook Lopez	51	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.42	4	-5	9	16.6	15.5	1.07	15.7	15.2	0.47
Stephen Graham	41	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	10	-21	16.0	16.2	-0.19	15.3	15.7	-0.40
Jordan Farmar	40	41	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	3	-7	17.0	15.5	1.49	15.6	15.4	0.23
Devin Harris	62	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	2	-5	16.4	15.7	0.69	15.0	16.5	-1.53
Travis Outlaw	61	61	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.69	-1	0	-1	16.0	16.3	-0.29	15.3	15.9	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.27,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.2,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.67,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 108, GSW 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.37,0.55,0.42,0	91.5%
CHA 91, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.37,0.32,0.42,0	90.5%
SAS 104, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.67,0.58,0	89.5%