NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	91		Excitement	7.6 [287]		MVP	Ronald Murray (CHA): +31.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Comeback	2.7 [278]		LVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): -17.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.31	0.07	0.24	0.00	6	71%	0.31	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.02,0.08	0.08	-0.00	-0.00	13	61%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Stephen Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05	0.01	0.03	0.00	17	58%	0.18	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
DeSagana Diop	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	73%	0.08	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	10	41%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.12	0.02	-0.13	0.01	10	68%	0.18	5	-0.30	8	100%	0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.04	-0.00	21	66%	0.24	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.09
Mo Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	-0.01	-0.01	17	75%	0.24	6	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	6	64%	0.12	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	77%	0.10	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.06
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	10%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.09	0.02	5	50%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	8	12%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	26.2	15.7	21.5	2.0	36.2	128.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +32.2%

CHA +18.8%

CHA +6.7%

CLE -11.2%

CHA +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CLE	NBA	CHA	CLE	NBA
this game	17.5	18.3	15.3	113.8	108.6	106.0
season	16.2	16.1		103.0	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.4		103.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	19.7	14.5	17.8	18.1	17.5
CLE	17.2	19.8	19.2	17.0	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Murray	41	42	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.40	7	-4	11	16.3	18.7	-2.45	18.4	18.2	0.20
Stephen Jackson	74	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.37	6	-3	9	17.1	21.7	-4.52	18.4	16.2	2.22
DeSagana Diop	43	43	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-8	19	16.4	18.8	-2.36	21.1	15.1	5.99
Gerald Wallace	71	72	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	6	-9	17.9	14.3	3.55	17.7	23.0	-5.31
D.J. Augustin	23	24	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	-2	7	15.6	18.3	-2.70	19.8	17.6	2.14
Raymond Felton	57	57	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.26	-2	5	-7	18.3	15.6	2.70	17.6	19.8	-2.14
Boris Diaw	63	62	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.30	-5	8	-13	18.6	13.4	5.18	17.5	20.7	-3.20
Nazr Mohammed	28	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	7	-11	18.3	17.0	1.28	16.7	19.2	-2.48

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Hickson	38	38	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-6	9	18.2	18.4	-0.19	17.9	17.1	0.88
Jamario Moon	22	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-1	-1	20.0	17.6	2.36	15.6	18.2	-2.64
Shaquille O'Neal	49	49	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-9	15	16.4	21.1	-4.70	17.4	17.6	-0.26
Mo Williams	62	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-5	7	17.2	21.8	-4.65	18.0	15.5	2.49
Anthony Parker	55	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-5	7	17.5	20.0	-2.58	18.3	15.8	2.49
Anderson Varejao	37	36	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	5	-13	19.6	17.2	2.46	16.8	18.0	-1.19
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	28	27	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	8	-19	22.3	16.2	6.17	16.9	17.8	-0.85
Delonte West	42	40	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	2	-7	18.1	18.5	-0.44	16.9	18.0	-1.07
LeBron James	72	70	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.43	-2	-1	-1	18.5	16.4	2.07	17.7	16.1	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.37,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 108, GSW 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.37,0.55,0.42,0	92.2%
MEM 107, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.22,0.18,0	92.0%
POR 88, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.28,0	91.8%