inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 99 Excitement7.8 [243] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +48.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder 96 Comeback4.3 [131] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -17.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
George Hill0.330,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.330.180.160.011473%0.412-0.08978%0.04
Manu Ginobili0.090,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.07,0.090.040.060.011654%0.162-0.07771%0.06
Roger Mason Jr.0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.010.001159%0.0600.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.05-0.00942%0.061-0.021100%0.01
DeJuan Blair0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.01650%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Malik Hairston-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06-0.01-0.040.011347%-0.051-0.01450%-0.02
Antonio McDyess-0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00540%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.05-0.01829%-0.011-0.091100%0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.480.480.260.240.022471%0.553-0.071593%0.07
Nenad Krstic0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.020.02750%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02250%0.003-0.04250%-0.01
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kyle Weaver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.01-0.070.011255%0.083-0.155100%0.02
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1-0.100.01-0.11-0.00562%0.062-0.16667%-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12-0.12-0.03-0.09-0.0120%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.07,-0.02,-0.18-0.18-0.03-0.19-0.031343%-0.071-0.112100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game32.22.629.216.624.82.034.5141.9
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +2.2%
SAS +15.4%
SAS +24.4%
SAS +8.4%
OKC -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASOKCNBASASOKCNBA
this game16.815.215.3110.0106.7106.0
season15.915.0108.2106.2
opponent15.515.1103.1103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS18.413.915.120.216.8
OKC15.015.517.612.515.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan67670.61-0.110.730.3210-71716.916.60.3314.816.4-1.67
Manu Ginobili62640.60-0.100.690.368-51316.816.80.0415.115.4-0.33
George Hill67670.470.030.430.4121117.315.41.9114.617.0-2.37
Antonio McDyess39390.340.160.18-0.0413-102315.517.8-2.3816.014.51.48
Roger Mason Jr.62620.230.27-0.040.114-1516.118.4-2.2415.414.60.79
Richard Jefferson52510.180.32-0.140.24-25-717.216.20.9915.614.61.06
Malik Hairston15140.170.33-0.170.054-1515.317.1-1.8516.514.91.55
Keith Bogans14130.130.37-0.240.31-69-1516.916.80.1413.415.5-2.11
Matt Bonner4950-0.110.61-0.710.22-1114-2518.115.32.7914.815.7-0.87
DeJuan Blair2323-0.110.61-0.730.09-710-1716.616.9-0.3316.414.81.67

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Collison41410.08-0.580.67-0.127-101716.314.22.1215.717.8-2.07
Kyle Weaver26270.03-0.530.57-0.084-71117.014.52.4915.517.4-1.90
Eric Maynor5555-0.15-0.350.19-0.274-71115.714.31.4317.316.01.28
Nenad Krstic3938-0.23-0.270.030.06-107-1715.614.90.7515.617.7-2.04
Serge Ibaka5454-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.402-5715.215.2-0.0617.316.01.31
Thabo Sefolosha4141-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.23-52-714.615.7-1.1516.017.4-1.40
Russell Westbrook5555-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.31-41-514.017.1-3.1017.815.22.64
Jeff Green5959-0.510.01-0.51-0.30-74-1115.115.3-0.1517.315.91.43
Kevin Durant8080-0.580.08-0.66-0.40-63-914.619.6-4.9617.015.11.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.4,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.17,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 87, ATL 850.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.32,0.27,092.6%
BOS 91, ORL 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.22,0.14,0.34,0.03,0.04,092.5%
MEM 101, MIL 950.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.28,0.1,0.04,092.4%